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Summary
Transcript
A lot of it by AI bots and whatever. A lot of it is going to be nonsense. Some of it’s gonna be true but we’re not gonna be able to tell which of the nonsense is true and which is the nonsense is false because it’s all nonsense because even the stuff that’s gonna be true eventually, that’s gonna be proven to be true, it’s just a whole bunch of wild stabs in the dark at this point and nobody knows what the hell’s going on. So take everything with a grain of silver, be careful out there, and know that silver has done this before and when it has done this before it’s always crashed and the chances that it will again are pretty high.
Crash to what? I don’t know. But QE is still not in full swing. We’re not quite yet in a monetary panic and the Fed has not pushed the pedal to the metal as of this video. There are some signs that I’m seeing that I’m talking about the endgame investor on sub stack that things are getting very unstable and silver could go anywhere in the next few days down to 50, up to 90. It’s really impossible to know so stay humble and stay resilient. Until we are in the final printing round full speed meaning cut rates to zero and bailing out the banks directly, silver could do anything.
So now is not the time to play leverage. Now is the time to get out of leverage which is what I’m doing and for more on that check out the endgame investor on sub stack. Link in the description below. Get your gold and silver at Miles Franklin. There’s still time to do that though time is running ever shorter. Check the link in the description below, call the number and mention the endgame investor and get your gold and silver and put some of it in a dirty man safe because once this thing blows power is probably going to go out and all of the golden silver they have vaulted away will probably be safe but you won’t have immediate access to it.
So for some immediate access to some money you’ll probably need a dirty man safe because safes are really worthless traditional saves if they’re not hidden because all people have to steal the safe and then figure out how to open it later. But anyway let’s get to the slides and these are more fundamental rather than what’s going to happen the next few days what is going to happen by the endgame which is fast approaching and yes I do think it will happen in 2026. So what do we got here first chart this is kind of interesting I don’t think I’ve shown this one before maybe once that’s the Bitcoin to silver ratio it has hit a major trend line that’s been in place since 2019 can see here the bottom in 2019 versus silver at around 200 ounces and then we kind of creep up higher and higher in 2020 and 2021 then there’s the explosion over here and we’re back down to the crypto winter trend line here about 850 650 ounces whatever it is and look we have tagged it again I reluctantly expect Bitcoin to bounce a little bit here versus silver we’ll see if that’s because silver goes down or Bitcoin goes up or a little combination of the two but you know Bitcoin isn’t really a thing it doesn’t really exist it’s just a combination of fantasies guarded by a code to a safe that doesn’t have anything in it but the next fantasy of the next minor or whatever you want to call them once this trend line flat lines that’ll be the end of Bitcoin we haven’t gotten there quite yet but we are headed there pretty quickly but we were we have about 3650 ounces of silver now we’re down to about 1,100 so that is 66% decline versus silver since 2024 that’s not very monetary is it but anyway similar magnitudes 2011 silver rally versus gold one of the reasons that I would grow cautious here and we couldn’t see silver do anything over the next few days these two lines over here are an equal sign and see I did it myself with paint I’m an artist that’s what they call me we have here the gold to silver ratio you can see that this rectangle is the same length as this rectangle right I drew them myself so I know and we have here the similar magnitude in the silver rally from 20 2008 right the end of 2008 that’s when we last saw silver over here at about 85 that was the 2008 financial crisis the worst of it over here and then down at the 2011 when we hit about 30 to 1 ratio so from the peak of the financial crisis September 2008 to May 2000 that like two and a half years so silver the gold silver ratio went from 85 a high of 85 to a low of 30 that’s a move of 55 right 30 plus 55 is 85 we have here a very similar magnitude the gold silver ratio is not about 60 it was at a high of 105 so that’s a move of 45 as opposed to a move of 55 so not exactly equal I was wrong about the equality it’s not equal I was lying oh well but it’s a similar magnitude so we got to be careful and we’ve broken the resistance here at about 63 62 whatever that is just be careful here don’t expect silver to keep exploding day after day there’s gonna be some shakeouts they’re going to be extreme be careful be conscious and don’t listen to everything that you hear on social media now given that the gold to silver ratio is starting to a bit normalize the silver to stocks ratio is not even close to that we’re still at point zero one one year of the silver to S&P 500 ratio we are nowhere near where we were in 2011 which is about 0.04 let’s just estimate so we have about a four times rally if silver quadrupled here relative to the S&P whether that’s because the S&P gets cut by 75% or silver quadruples or some combination we still have a long way to go in terms of the purchasing power of silver eighty dollars is really not much compared to what stocks have been doing since 2011 it’s not even close and here is the most shocking chart you’ll see remember that 2011 huge bump to point oh for that was this tiny little thing over here but compared to 1980 we’re still nowhere near anything of where silver was relative to stocks the purchasing power of silver relative stocks in 1980 nothing you can barely see this little uptick over here where we are now so yeah in terms of endgame moves there’s a long way to go here don’t even don’t even think that the rally is done yet it could get wild here so I would stay out of leverage instead of options instead of leveraged funds but still in terms of the longer term when the longer term I would only define as like a year or two from now because like after that the dog is gonna be dead anyway so over that time frame silver is gonna go way up here and just be ready for that but be ready for some crazy action now the London silver spot premium returns remember when we were in the what people were calling backwardation in silver what I was calling a premium in London spot over New York futures which is not exactly backwardation because backwardation would be New York silver now more expensive than New York silver later which is not the case here but this does show a backwardation of sorts even though I wouldn’t call it technically backwardation we’re back to a two dollar premium of London spot silver over New York futures so that did portend or predict a move to 50 back here look at this tiny little to 50 it’s like a little baby move to 50 but here now we’re at 80 and I think we’re at 75 it’s gonna get crazy it’s already crazy so it’s now that we’re back to this London premium London is showing another shortage they’re gonna have to get another influx of silver probably from New York and that is probably going to drive prices even higher with volatility yes so platinum check out platinum which of course means little silver I was talking about this I’ve been talking about this on a few silver reports now and then of the mother of all triangles in platinum well that triangle just broke out in a big big way we have here the triangle going all the way back to 2004 hit the bottom in 2008 financial crisis after seeing this you know this was showing like an inflationary crisis in early 2008 so we could be seeing that over here that’s probably what this is it’s the beginning of an inflationary crisis which will cause a hyper deflationary crash which will cause the Fed to panic and print a whole bunch of trillions of blah blah blahs and then we’ll see the endgame I mean I mean the endgame it’ll be it that’ll be it but this huge triangle has been narrowing down until the beginning of this year or the middle of this year even and this breakout is the mother of all triangle breakouts I’ve never seen anything this extreme but it does not surprise me I have been saying that if you want a little bit of platinum it’s been a good time to get over the last few years last few months especially the platinum silver ratio is still actually pretty low I think it’s like 35 now still historically low but it was down to like 26 or something so platinum I only have a few ounces you can get a few ounces to save some room if you want it’s very volatile metal anyway compared to stocks though if we look at platinum versus stocks is similar to looking at silver versus stocks versus silver to gold or the silver price itself this is the platinum rally versus stocks okay you can see there’s a quite respectable candle here but compared to where platinum was in 2011 2008 2011 and historically this is nothing nothing platinum still has a long way to go versus stocks meaning it’s stocks mainstream stocks that have really gone crazy the last few years the last few decades even the metals what they’re doing now is just the beginning of the catch-up phase just the beginning now this is notable US housing prices the average price house price has fallen below 100 ounces for the first time since 1979 in 1980 we hit a low of 70 in a true hyperinflationary endgame scenario I envision the average house price will be somewhere between 5 and 10 ounces of gold that’s what I’m waiting for we’re at 95 now so yeah this is the housing housing prices have already have been crashing since 2022 looks like yeah 2022 they’ve crashed from just under 300 to now 95 ounces that’s about a 66% decline in housing prices in terms of real money wait until the endgame to buy a house if you can and you can get a whole bunch of real estate for very cheap just like Vymar where you could get a house for a $100 bill about five ounces of silver at a 15 to 1 ratio that’s about 75 ounces sorry five ounces of gold excuse me that’s about 75 ounces of silver at a 15 to 1 ratio I don’t expect that to hold up very long but I do think it will be a flashing pin and it will happen anyway if I left you with nothing today other than be cautious that’s what you should take home here be careful don’t trust all these social media rumors and know that there are some stuff going on in China specifically about silver funds there where some funds have shut down because investors are backing up the truck on silver funds and the fund managers can’t accommodate all the investments of actually shutting down which is I see a warning sign and COMEX has actually pushed up margin requirements we’ll see that what that does for silver futures this week and we’ll see if they keep doing it this is not a very big raise I talked about that also on the end game investor on the sub stack but anyway I’ll see you guys maybe tomorrow depending on what silver does maybe in two days maybe in three who knows maybe this would be my last video because the end game is coming though I don’t think that’s true but nothing else to say so bye there’s something you don’t see every day terrified beyond the capacity for rational thought
[tr:trw].
See more of Rafi Farber on their Public Channel and the MPN Rafi Farber channel.