➡ The article discusses the potential risks of a war with Iran, using the DEFCON system as a reference. The risks range from economic issues like oil price hikes and market crashes (DEFCON 5), to cybersecurity threats that could affect banking, power grids, and internet (DEFCON 4), to civil unrest due to political divisions and potential military draft (DEFCON 3). The article suggests that these risks could lead to significant disruptions and advises practicing digital hygiene and keeping cash on hand as precautions.
➡ The text discusses potential threats to the United States, including immigration and refugee crises, kinetic war, cybersecurity threats, and nuclear warfare. It suggests that these threats could lead to significant disruptions, such as damage to the power grid, supply chain, and infrastructure. The text also mentions the possibility of domestic sabotage campaigns and targeted assassinations. It concludes by stating that the U.S. is likely to join a war, which could lead to further instability and potential threats.
➡ Amidst current distractions, a new series is being launched where viewers can submit videos of their survival kits for review and rating. This interactive process allows for mutual learning and improvement of emergency preparedness. It’s a fun and educational activity for those interested in survival tactics. Enjoy the weekend and stay tuned for more.

All right. The war with Iran is imminent, so we need to talk about what are the risks for people who are outside the conflict zone. There are five levels of risk that we’re going to talk about today, from the most trivial to the most severe. And we’re going to base this on the DEFCON system. If you’re familiar with that, that’s the Strategic Combat Readiness Posture of the United States. So DEFCON 5, being amongst the most peaceful and the most stable of times, DEFCON 1 means nuclear war is imminent. Now, the risk levels that we’re going to talk about are the most trivial, so that’s going to be mostly related to economic stuff.

The DEFCON 4 equivalent, that was the DEFCON 5, the DEFCON 4 is going to be cybersecurity risks. DEFCON 3 is going to be civil unrest. DEFCON 2 is going to be kinetic war and the awakening of various sleeper cells on the home front. And of course DEFCON 5 would be the nuclear threat, not in the sense of full-blown nuclear war, because contrary to popular belief, a nuclear war breaking out in the Middle East will largely be regional, at least for the start. There is a potential for it to spill over, but I’m always surprised by how worried people are about nuclear war starting in the Middle East versus starting between Russia and the United States.

That’s the real, or China for that matter. Those are the real theaters of conflict where you could see mutually assured destructive spillover. In the Middle East, it’s largely going to be Iran and Israel. Go and watch our videos over at The Prepper News if you want to keep up to speed on what is going on with that. Now, among the most trivial of risks, we’re talking DEFCON 5 stuff, stuff that you really probably don’t have to lose sleep over. These are going to be things like oil price hikes. Now, is it going to make life more difficult? Absolutely.

It’s going to create all kinds of economic turbulence. You’re going to have higher gas prices. There’s going to be higher energy costs. Inflation is likely going to go through the roof because that’s strongly correlated with the price of oil. You’re likely going to see that impact U.S. fiscal policy, so you’re going to see monetary tightening. We could potentially see stagflation. You’re going to potentially see the markets crash. That’s definitely overdue because the markets, of course, are more overvalued than they ever have been in history despite everything that is going on. And you might see some shipping delays due to the logistical choke points, especially over there in the Middle East and the knock-on effects of that throughout the world.

There will be repercussions for the global supply chain. So these, although they’re very significant, although a market crash is significant and oil price hikes are significant, they’re still in the grand scheme of things, nothing you need to have a bug out bag at the door for. However, that can quickly evolve beyond just the Middle East and just the more innocuous effects of macroeconomic instability. The next level of threats are going to be cybersecurity threats because, well, at least at the current time, Iran itself might not pose a kinetic risk, but we’ll get into that.

That’s DEF CON 2. There is a possibility for sleeper cell activation. But for the time being, one of the biggest risks is going to be cybersecurity-based. Simply because there are plausible deniabilities around using cyber weapons. So because hurting Iran effectively hurts Russia and China as well, we can expect some sort of indirect retaliation, and that could be in the form of a major cyber attack. Now, if you’re wondering what the fuss is about cyber attacks, it’s something that should absolutely be taken seriously. There was a cyber attack that recently occurred in the UK. It was a retailer, I believe, and I think their systems are still coming back online after several months.

So these are things that could be relatively benign and short-lived, or they can be enduring and widespread. We’re talking about effects on the banking system, on the power grid, on the internet. There could be a hack that took down the internet. Denial of service attacks could take down individual websites or services. Telecommunications grids could be hacked. All kinds of critical digital infrastructure are susceptible and vulnerable to these types of cyber attacks. Hospitals, emergency services, any civilian life support system could potentially be a target here. Even the water treatment system, of course, everything is networked, everything is exposed, and the tax service is broadening as there are more internet-of-things devices connected to these various facilities.

Of course, the stock market itself could be the victim of a cyber attack. Any continuity architecture and infrastructure could be impacted by cyber attacks. So digital hygiene is very important. In fact, there was just this past few days a leak of 16 billion passwords that were leaked. Now, I don’t know, obviously there’s more people. That’s more than there is people in the world, so presumably they got a basket of passwords from individuals. So that’s still a lot of passwords, likely a couple hundred million people in one of the biggest leaks in history. So just making sure you’re practicing digital hygiene at this point in time and you’re hedging with cash.

That’s one of the main things you hedge a cyber attack with, is going to be cash. And just, once again, making sure that you don’t put all your eggs into one basket, right? So you could potentially see disruptions in point-of-sale systems, in retail, which of course, if companies are dependent on that for their just-in-time delivery systems, that could complicate things a lot, so that could result in shortages of various supplies. Of course, there have been attacks on critical infrastructure before, pipeline attacks that can actually lead to kinetic effects, like explosions. Social media and TV are going to be vulnerable to these sorts of things.

So the integrity of the information you’re receiving will be compromised. And of course, in the age of deepfakes and artificial intelligence, it’s very easy to fabricate stuff. We’re already starting to see a lot of this happen with the war in Israel, where some of the footage that you’re seeing is being embellished. There’s some truth to it, but it’s also being embellished, exaggerating the damage to certain regions or minimizing the damage to others. And this also, with respect to cyber security, you’re looking at issues with shipping, you’re looking at issues with the various ports, rail, all kinds of transportation.

There could be logistical complications as a result of cyber security. So that’s level two. Still stuff that is manageable if you keep a little bit of cash on hand and you make sure you have your preps at home. But it could be quite serious. And both of these have the effects of exacerbating DEF CON 3, which is going to be civil unrest. Now, this takes place as a result of people’s political divisions over the issue of whether or not they should go to war. And the potential for a military draft conversation, okay? So you could see widespread socio-political destabilization as a result of a full-on hot war with Iran.

We could see nationwide protests and piggyback upon that are going to be the usual loot and scoot stuff that we see cars burning in the streets, the deployment of the National Guard. I suspect that the recent No Kings protest, an interesting opportunistic government, took the opportunity to deploy the National Guard almost as a trial balloon to see what the reception would be by the public. And, you know, there was a little bit of pushback, but nonetheless, they’ve now established a bit of an administrative framework to deploy that on a much larger scale. So we could see mass mobilization events in response to any major bombardment of Iran by the U.S.

government. This could lead to socio-economic immiseration. You’re going to, of course, have the impacts of the potential cyber security threats and, of course, the economic impacts of higher oil prices all fueling these fires of social unrest. You’re also going to have attempts by our adversaries to subvert these protests and inflame them even more. We’ve seen that several times throughout the past. And, of course, if the war spreads, and I mean really spreads to the point where they’re talking about boots on the ground, which is likely inevitable in some capacity, then you’re likely going to see a conversation about compulsory mobilization.

And when that happens, when you start talking about the military draft, that’s when you’re going to get a lot of potential pushback because you’re going to have one side who is going to be having a rally around the flag moment and another side who’s going to be deemed non-patriotic because they’re not supporting the war effort or they’re not supporting the troops. That whole you better support the troops propaganda, right? Regardless of what they’re doing, whether or not what they’re doing is justified. So there’s going to be all kinds of patriotic invocations rally around the flag moments in order to galvanize the population for war.

Contrasted with this mass mobilization and protests. So it’s going to lead to a political divide. In addition to that, if the war continues to heat up, you’re also going to see immigration, refugee issues, where all these people are going to go. They’re going to go to Europe, and then there’s going to be the same thing that you’ve seen over the past few years in the wake of the Syrian refugee crisis and people just losing their minds because they can’t adjust to society, and we all know how the story goes. So that kind of is a segue into DEFCON 2, which is going to be kinetic war starting on the home front.

Now, these are the type of asymmetrical attacks that you really do feel. However, cybersecurity threats could still cause widespread disruption. So even though that’s DEFCON 4, the only reason why this is DEFCON 2, because this implies that things have gone really, really hot. If they’re activating sleeper cells and they’re doing damage to our power grid or to our supply chain, they’re doing assassinations, they’re doing terrorist attacks, then that is something that really starts to hit home, and it’s something that you would see when the war was starting to expand beyond the borders. Now, all of this presumes that nukes don’t fly, and Iran doesn’t have the capability to launch a nuke at the United States.

The demonstration that they just did of a two-stage rocket indicates that they may very well have that capability, although I highly doubt that they would do that because that would mean their instant vaporization. Now, in terms of kinetic war on the home front, you could have domestic sabotage campaigns, as I indicated, physical attacks on all kinds of infrastructure. We are highly vulnerable in this society because we live in a glass house. It’s a free and open society. There’s people of all different multicultural walks of life. It’s almost impossible to try to single somebody out without, you know, calling into question issues of profiling and things of that nature.

So it gets incredibly complicated in order to manage in a similar way that an authoritarian society might, a society that is, at least in theory, liberal, okay, and that in the most philosophical sense of the word. As I indicated, targeted assassinations is something else that we could potentially see, supply chain, sabotage, poisoning, water, biological warfare. We could see, you know, just infiltration of various aspects of society and making changes. You know, I would, if I was our adversaries, I would try to, over the course of 10 years, get myself into positions of authority within that society and try to subvert it from the inside out.

Maybe even in a soft way that might not even be directly kinetic, but then when the time came, use those or activate those people in order to run some pretty serious influence campaigns. So there’s a lot of ways that kinetic war can come to the home front. Remember, it only takes the downing of nine transformers throughout the entire grid in North America to bring down the entire system as a whole. Even though there are thousands of these transformers, the way it’s networked, if they were to take out the right ones, they could bring down the entire system for an indefinite period of time.

Because of course, most of these, most of the hardware is manufactured in China. Now, DEFCON 1, the most serious of DEFCON levels. This is what happens when the massive ordnance penetrator doesn’t work on the four down nuclear facility or Trump decides that he’s not going to utilize that option. So the Israelis opt for their only option that could potentially work and that is the use of tactical nuclear weapons. Today, we’re interviewing an expert on that particular issue over at the Prepper News Channel. I would encourage you to go and check that out. But this is going to be largely regionalized to the Middle East, right? Unless the Russians and the Chinese get involved.

You’re going to have some ramifications in terms of perhaps normalizing the use of tactical nukes, which may have spillover effects into the Russia-Ukraine conflict because then Russia may be more prone to utilize a nuke if the ice has already been broken. So it’s just going to lead to instability. Most of all, it’s probably going to lead to panic. And there’s a reason why the Doomsday Plane is deployed right now for the first time since September 11, 2001. And that really does say a lot, okay? They’re most certainly, in my personal opinion, going to war. And it could happen.

It could start any hour now. According to the great Seymour Hirsch, he claims that the decision has been made and that they’re going to start the war on the weekend, this weekend, because Trump wants to have this bombing campaign done before the markets open on Mondays. Quite frankly, if a nuke went off, I expect that there would be a rapid market sell-off. And then if COVID is any indication of what might happen next, we might see the markets rally in the most absurd of ways thereafter. So you just never know. The markets are completely untethered from reality at this point in time.

It’s a rational exuberance to the maximum. Now, it does, like I said, increase the use of nuclear weapons elsewhere. In fact, most of the nuclear war films, be they threads or the day after, a lot of them start over a spat in the Middle East, typically around Syria, in fact. So we’ve passed Syria, but now we’re, of course, into Iran, which is even more significant. And this, of course, does run the risk of electromagnetic pulse effects as well. Well, Iran could only cause benign and regional damage, limited damage to the United States using nuclear weapons. They could do more damage by utilizing that nuclear weapon for its electromagnetic pulse effects.

Now, contrary to popular belief, one EMP, one nuke is likely not going to black out the entirety of the continental United States. But I suspect that they would do it in one place on the East Coast or somewhere, and that in itself would cause great instability if all of those transformers were compromised. There’s been estimates that a very large percentage of the population could potentially perish simply as a result of there being no more electricity. If you don’t have electricity, you can’t grow food. It basically comes down to that. You can’t grow food, you can’t distribute food, and you can’t administrate any sort of governance over a region if the lights aren’t on, especially when there’s billions and billions of people.

Maybe, you know, hundreds of years ago, when there was less than a billion people, you could do that, but not anymore. In these metropolitan beehives that we live in with millions of people condensed into small areas, it’s going to be absolute bedlam. So that’s the five ways that this could impact us. Now, what do I think is going to happen? You’re going to have to go over to the Prepper News channel for that. I try not to speculate anymore on Canadian Prepper. I did one video earlier in the week just to migrate some people over to the Prepper News.

But where we’re at right now, I think it is pretty much certain that the United States is going to join the war. In fact, I’m going to go out on a limb and say it is 100 percent certain that we are definitely going to join the war in some capacity. It’s likely not going to emerge when people think or how they think. It’s going to be some form of mission creep where they interspersed the American military amongst the Israeli military. And then it’ll eventually, you know, it’ll be an open secret and then it’ll be masked off and then they’ll be in there and then they’ll just continue to continue to wrap it up.

And it’s going to be an air campaign until the Iranians retaliate in such a way that is deemed so egregious by the transatlantic establishment that that then is used as casus belly for greater mobilization, which, of course, will involve talks of boots on the ground. And that is how we move up the scale. Immediately what you will see if they do this bombing campaign, we’re at DEF CON 5. I would say we’re already kind of there, somewhat in limbo. Oil hasn’t responded. It’s up 20 percent in the past few weeks. But we barely scratching the surface of that.

Now, level two, DEF CON 4, I should say, it’s confusing. I know I really wish they would have just did it the other way and made DEF CON 5 nuclear war. I get it. Five, four, three, two, one. I get that. But I think if they made it ascending, it would just be easier. So I would say that we would start encountering cybersecurity threats after there’s sustained fighting that starts going on. So if it starts this weekend, then we could potentially start to see that next week around burning some of those zero days and things will just progressively get worse because all of these things have a way of exacerbating one another to the effect that it’s a doom loop.

It’s a self-fulfilling prophecy of sorts. So I would encourage you guys, check out the videos that we’ve been releasing this week. Some are more basic entry-level stuff. I have a lot of stuff in the queue that I haven’t released yet just because a lot of craziness has been going on and people’s attention is elsewhere. So there’s no sense in releasing those videos amidst all this white noise. I’ll post links for the prepper news in the comment section and the pinned comment section and check out the bug out bag, bug out roll video that we did yesterday.

We’re starting a new series where I rate your bug out roll. So basically what you do is you go and fill out this form. I get that preppers are paranoid. You don’t have to put all your real information in there. You upload your video of your bug out kit to YouTube and I actually will make a video going through assessing it. Maybe you teach me something. Maybe I teach you something and just a fun way to evolve the thought process along bugging out and making emergency and survival kits. A great prepper past time. Thanks for watching my friends.

Enjoy the weekend. Let’s see what happens. Canadian prepper out. [tr:trw].

See more of Canadian Prepper on their Public Channel and the MPN Canadian Prepper channel.