Midterms PANIC as GOP CRUSHES Dems in Voter Registration!!! | Dr. Steve Turley

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Summary

➡ The Dr. Steve Turley episode talks about how early signs suggest that the Republicans may maintain their majority in the Senate in the upcoming midterms, with potential gains in the House as well. Key indicators such as right track/wrong track polls, presidential approval, and voter registration trends are all favoring the GOP. The current president’s approval ratings are crucial, as a low approval could lead to significant losses for his party. Despite it being early, these trends are already showing a strong direction towards the Republicans.

 

Transcript

While it’s still a bit early to be talking about the midterms, we are already getting our first indicators as to how those elections are indeed shaping up. As far as the Senate is concerned, according to the Cook Political Report, Republicans look like they’re going to at least retain their current 53-seat majority. It does not look good for the Democrats. And you could tell, I mean, their leader Chuck Schumer is just an embarrassment at this point. So there’s clearly no momentum in the Senate. It’s going to be interesting. There are two toss-up seats right now with Georgia being one of them, and their popular governor, Brian Kemp, looks poised to run for that seat on the GOP ticket.

So he’s going to be hard to beat. So we may be looking at at least 54 seats for the GOP in the Senate. Over in the House, according to AF Insight, the Republicans right now have an 11-seat advantage going to the midterms with 20 seats in the undecided column. That means that if the Republicans hold on to just 40 percent of those undecideds, they’ll have 219. That’s one more than what’s needed for a majority. The Cook Political Report is seeing pretty much the same thing. They have the GOP at 212 seats with the Democrats at 205 with 18 toss-up.

Now, if you don’t know, there are three main indicators for how a midterm election is going to play itself out. These are the predictive indicators that we’re going to be keeping a very close eye on on this channel. Right track, wrong track polls, presidential approval, and voter registration trends. These are the three most predictive indicators for how a midterm plays itself out. And again, even though it’s early, already we’re beginning to see that all three of these trends are moving decisively in the direction of the GOP. So take, for example, the latest right track, wrong track polls.

According to Quantum Insights, 50 percent of the country believes we as a nation are finally on the right track. That is a near 20-point swing to the Trump era from the Biden era. It’s pretty astonishing stuff. And according to Mark Mitchell of Rasmussen, for the first time in over 20 years of polling, right track exceeds wrong track in their daily polling, which then leads, of course, to presidential approval. And again, according to Mark Mitchell and others, Trump has simply never. And again, we’re talking never at any point in his two terms ever been stronger than he is right now.

And keep in mind, Trump made history back in 2018 when he was only the fifth incumbent ever to see seats for his own party gain in the Senate. We actually gained seats in the Senate in the 2018 midterms while the Republicans lost control, but barely of the House. But the key calculus here is that according to Gallup polling, if a president is underwater, the president is under, say, 45 percent approval, their party tends to lose upwards of about 30 seats in the House. So it’s very important that President Trump maintain these high approval ratings.

And thus far, now seven weeks into his presidency, he has done just that. Again, beware of the fabricated polls from outlets that told you for months that Kamala Harris was going to be your next president. Right. The Anseltors of the world who predicted that Kamala would win Iowa by three. I think she was just off by like 16. Pay no attention to those pollsters. Make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button because we know on this channel exactly which pollsters were the most accurate in 2024. And that’s all you’re going to get here on this channel.

So we’ve got right track, wrong track polling. We’ve got presidential approval, both of which right now are record highs. But wait until you see these voter registration trends. I mean, they’re the real magic here. This is going to absolutely blow you away. But first gang, Joe Rogan’s known for his MMA fighting being an extremely good shape and doing quite well health-wise at 57. One of the supplements that he’s talked about of late is GLP-1. The story of that, since you like animals and the natural world, a guy down in South America was looking at Gila monsters and he realized they don’t have to eat very often.

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Scott Pressler of Early Vote Action gave his million-plus ex-followers a bit of a tease the other day, tweeting out on the latest voter registration numbers coming out of the key state of New Jersey. He didn’t show them. He just promised to blow everyone’s brains and to stand by. Well, now the anticipation is over. Those numbers are out. After a cleanup of their voter rolls, the GOP outnumbered the Democrats in registrations by 50,000 as of last month, a 50,000 gain. That’s huge in any way you slice it, but particularly in a state like New Jersey.

The Democrats have for years held a million-plus voter registration advantage, and that advantage has now officially dipped below the million mark. Now, as many of you know, Scott helped flip Pennsylvania in November through voter registration efforts, flipped Pennsylvania to Trump. As it turns out, voter registration identification trends are the single most accurate predictor for election outcomes. For example, Republicans went into November of 2024 with a near-plus-two voter identification advantage, according to Gallup. Well, guess by how much Trump won the popular vote by? A near-plus-two. Almost identical. Voter registration trends suggest that the party affiliation that most people are registering for is the one they’re going to vote for in the next election.

Pretty logical stuff, and it plays out. This is why Scott was so instrumental in delivering Pennsylvania, focused on mass voter registration efforts for the Republicans that translate into a comparable massive amount of votes for Trump. The key here, what’s so neat, is that Scott isn’t just indiscriminately knocking on doors, registered voters. He’s going after targeted voters. He’s going after voters who aren’t registered, who would be overwhelmingly inclined to vote Republican, by the way. That’s the genius of this approach. It’s not just going after what we call no-prop voters, no-propensity voters, those who haven’t voted in the last several elections.

That in and of itself would be awesome, because we have data that shows that no-prop voters inordinately lean towards Trump. So that’s why we knew that at the electorate was massive in 2024, that we would win. The bigger the electorate, the bigger the turnout, the more it favored Trump, because low-prop and no-prop voters were inordinately inclined towards Trump. All the polls were showing that. But the key here, Scott isn’t just going after an overall demographic, the no-prop voter, that leans towards Trump anyway. He’s identifying key voters within that demographic who would lean overwhelmingly towards Trump and the GOP.

So that’s what he did in Pennsylvania, targeted key demographics, hunters, truckers, veterans, the Amish, those who were not registered to vote, but who were overwhelmingly inclined to vote for Trump, were they to register. He targeted those key demographics to shrink the Democratic voter registration advantage by over 300,000 since 2020. In fact, as many of you know, right now as we speak, Pennsylvania is literally just 90,000 voter registrations away from flipping red. Democrats literally had a million voter registration advantage just a few years back. It’s incredible the speed in which this political realignment is happening.

But circling back to Jersey, the key with Jersey is that Trump was just five points away from stealing the state from Kamala. And you’ll recall the Republican, Jack Sedarelli, came literally within a few thousand votes of defeating their incumbent Democrat, Governor Phil Murphy back in 2021. So Jersey looks like it really is poised to turn red. In fact, a number of analysts are arguing that Jersey is the new Pennsylvania. It’s where Pennsylvania was just a few years ago. And it’s not just Jersey. You may have seen this. These are the latest numbers coming out of the otherwise deep blue state of New York.

I mean, gang, look at this. Republicans just gained 72,000 voters on Democrats in January. Democrats lost nearly 50,000 voter registrations. I mean, you heard that right. Democrats lost nearly 50,000 voter registrations in that month alone in January. Whereas Republicans gained over 23,000. It’s a 72,000 voter registration swing towards the GOP. And as it turns out, it’s all par for the course with voter registration trends going on all over the country. I mean, look at Arizona. In Maricopa County, by far their most populous county, in fact, he wins Maricopa, wins Arizona. But their Republican voter registration advantage in December was plus 6.9 percent.

That has grown. It is now plus 7.2 percent advantage over Democrats. Well, at the same time, the Democrats stronghold Pima County has dropped from a Democrat plus 8.9 percent advantage to now an 8.2 percent advantage. So I mean, keep in mind Pima had a double digit Democrat voter registration advantage over Republicans just a couple of years back. So whether you’re looking at red counties, Republican registrations are going up or even blue counties in Arizona, Republican registrations are going up. Republicans are going up. Democrats are going down. That’s the trend. In the state of North Carolina, Republicans continue to dominate voter registration after cleanup of voter rolls last month.

Republicans have maintained a near 53,000 voter registration advantage. Now, remember, we went into 2024 with a very sizable Democrat voter registration advantage in North Carolina. North Carolina is an interesting state because it has a very sizable portion of Democrats who always vote Republican. It’s very interesting. They’re old school, Southern Democrats. They just simply never changed their voter affiliation. Well, those days now are over. A few weeks before November 5th, North Carolina voter registrations officially flipped. North Carolina flipped red for the very first time ever in terms of voter registration.

Never before have Republicans outnumbered Democrats. But again, it’s all part of this extraordinary political realignment where the working class, both white and non-white, are de-aligning from the Democrats and re-aligning with the Republicans, particularly a new Trumpian America first Republican party. Remember too that Mike Watley, the very successful chairman of the RNC, he is from North Carolina. He’s been instrumental in the political realignment that’s seen a Republican super majority form in the North Carolina legislature. Republicans just continue to run away with it like in deep, red states like Oklahoma, where they’ve literally now opened up a two to one voter advantage over Democrats.

Seriously, there are two Republicans for every one Democrat all throughout the state of Oklahoma. So there you have it. The three major predictive indicators for midterm elections are all trending the GOP’s way, and it’s all just getting started. What a way to begin the midterm season. By the way, click on the link in the description below to get all these articles and tweets I reference throughout my videos emailed to you each and every day. You’re going to love it. We want you to have the best resources out there to convince your family and your friends of this new MAGA super age that’s rising here.

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See more of Dr. Steve Turley on their Public Channel and the MPN Dr. Steve Turley channel.

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