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Summary
➡ The text discusses the political and military dynamics between Iran, Israel, and the U.S. It suggests that Iran has managed to withstand attacks and move its enriched uranium to a safer location. The text also criticizes the U.S. and Israel’s intelligence communities for underestimating Iran’s capabilities. It further discusses the impact of these conflicts on Iran’s internal politics, suggesting that it has strengthened the regime’s position. Lastly, it questions the effectiveness of Israel’s and U.S.’s military power, suggesting that their invincibility has been challenged.
➡ The text discusses the geopolitical situation involving the United States, Israel, and Iran. It highlights the loss of expensive military equipment, questions the perceived strength of the U.S. and Israel, and discusses Iran’s potential allies in Russia and China. The text also criticizes the U.S. and Israel’s desire for regime change in Iran, and questions the portrayal of Iran as a major sponsor of terrorism. It ends by discussing the influence of the Zionist lobby and evangelical Christian community on U.S. foreign policy.
➡ The text discusses the ongoing conflict in Gaza, where despite Israel’s military advantage, the Palestinians continue to resist. It mentions historical events like the U.S.’s role in overthrowing Iran’s government in 1953, and current issues like civilian casualties in Gaza. The speaker anticipates the conflict will continue, with Iran working to repair its defenses.
Transcript
From what I read, from what I gathered, they wouldn’t take possession of these planes, but they would have access to them, train at them, become expert at them, and be able to use them if they feel threatened by Iran. Do you think that this is in the interest of the US And a good idea? It’s a terrible idea, but it is, it’s part of this long term commitment, I guess, on the part of Israel to try to destroy Iran. You know, if people would simply step back and do an honest assessment and say, okay, of all these countries in the Middle east, which country has carried out the most attacks against its neighbors? Well, that would be Israel.
You know how many times Iran has invaded, attacked another one of its neighbors or another country in the area? Zero. None at all. So you know, the notion of giving these $2 billion planes, you know, the B2 I think they call, was named B2 because it cost like $2 billion. But you know, those planes normally can only carry one of those, you know, bunker busters as they’re called, you know, to be the GBU 57. The reason that on this latest attack on Iran they were able to carry two is that the planes gas tanks were almost empty.
They took off with almost empty gas tanks. That’s the only way that they could carry two 30,000 pound bombs. Then once they got airborne, then they were immediately refueled. Well, if you give that kind of capability to Israel, it only has one purpose and that would be to drop a nuclear bomb on Iran. It remains to be seen if Iran’s going to correct its deficiency in air defense because the Israelis and the United States appear to have done a very effective job of suppressing their air defense systems. They had previously rejected offers of assistance from Russia.
Remains to be seen if they’re going to change their mind, turn around and accept Russia’s offer. But. But get, again, these. This mother of all bombs, as they’re calling it, this ground penetrator, It’s. It’s a $20 million weapon, for starters. And the United States now is producing up around 50 a year, so there’s not a. You know, it’s. It’s not something you’re going to commonly use. I think introducing that to the Middle east. The only. It only has one purpose, to make the manufacturer of the bomb wealthy, you know, and the shareholders happy. Yeah. And also, don’t we have bases around there that we could have.
We could, at a Moment’s notice, have B2s there to begin with. It seems like this is just more performative and showing the support by Congress for Israel. Am I right? Yeah, well, there are bases there, but we really don’t want to put aircraft like the B2 there because it’s vulnerable. You know, Al Udid Air Force Base that Iran bombed with prior coordination with the Trump administration. You know, that’s just about 150 miles away from the coast of Iran. So literally. And they’ve got coastal missile batteries that they could. They could hit that air base without warning.
Now, believe it or not, the Shia version of Islam, the theology of it is you don’t sucker punch other people. You don’t launch preemptive strikes. You’re only justified if you’re struck, then you can strike back. So, you know, from that standpoint, we could probably park a B2 at Al Udid, but still, it’s very vulnerable. That’s why, actually, they had them at Park Summit, Diego Garcia, which is 2,000 miles south in the Indian Ocean. So this, again, this is just America’s on this war fever, and we got to find a cure because we keep thinking we’re great.
Except, you know, we saw this week, two days ago or yesterday, Pentagon announced, hey, those weapons we were sending to Ukraine, oh, we got to keep them because we’re running out. And that was. That was a legitimate reason because, you know, for example, we pulled back Patriot missiles. The actual missiles that are fired out of those launchers are. Lockheed Martin only makes 550 a year. So when you. When you do the math and realize that every time that you fire that Patriot system at an incoming ballistic missile, you got to fire a minimum of two, and more often it’s like four.
So if, say, if Russia or Iran is shooting 20 ballistic missiles at you and you’re firing three Patriots to stop each one of those missiles, just do the math. You’re firing 60 right away. And 60 represents, you know, a little more than 10% of the production for a year. And you do that in like 1, 1 minute, 2 minutes. The ceasefire came about in a way that both countries were able to claim victory. Both Iran and Israel. That’s predictable. One thing that I noticed that was interesting was that the foreign minister from Iran said, well, Israel had to go to daddy.
Israel needed the US to help defend it. And, and thus that shows that we were more effective. They were the ones on the ropes. Do you think that that’s a fair assessment? And does that sum up in your. In your mind? Well, yeah, he makes a good point there. And Iran was on the offensive. Yeah, I think it’s an understatement of what happened. Let’s just go with basic numbers. Israel has one international airport. Iran has 29. Israel has two ports that receive container ships for import export. VSC Haifa, Nashdot. Iran has eight major ones and 300 smaller ones.
So what’s my point? When they started exchanging missile barrages, Ben Gurion Airport was shut down. Yeah, they shut down the airport in Tehran. Guess What? They had 28 other international airports. So Iran was no longer cut off from being able to fly somewhere. The Israelis were. They only had their military airlift at that point. The container ships, ports, those were shut down because with the war on their way, insurance companies are going nit. We’re not letting any ships go in there. And the ports were hit and damaged. The same with the refineries. But it wasn’t just the refineries.
The Iranians destroyed the Israeli version of the Pentagon. The CIA, the FBI, and the National Security Agency hit all of those facilities, and they all suffered damage. They weren’t, you know, completely obliterated, but they were. They were damaged. And they actually suffered some personnel losses that they haven’t reported. The Weissman Institute, which was sort of the. The heart and soul of Israel’s nuclear research facility, hit. Damona nuclear facility in the south, hit all the major air. Air bases. They were hit and suffered damage. And we know that because Channel 13, an Israeli channel, they reported on that.
They were saying openly, hey, you know, the censors aren’t letting us report on all this damage that’s been done. It was significant. Iran did not go to the United States or Russia and go, oh, please make them stop. We can’t stand was Israel that went to the United States and said, hey, we got to stop. Because they were two weeks away, according to multiple media sources, Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post, from running out of their air defense systems. And note it comes back to the point I made earlier. The United States was running out.
We can’t produce 155 millimeter shells to match the use in Ukraine and we certainly can’t match the Patriot production. So, you know, Iran, Iran came out on this ahead. They suffered significant damage. Oh, and now, now that we’ve attacked their nuclear facilities, here was Iran, who was a signatory to the non Proliferation Treaty and allowed iaea, the International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors into those facilities. That’s how we knew, the CIA knew and the IA knew that Iran was not building a nuclear weapon because not only did we have the information from those inspectors, we recruited spies within IAEA who gave us other confidential, classified information.
And that’s how I believe that’s how Israel got a hold of the names, addresses of the various Iranian physicists that they murdered. So now we’re blind to that because Iran’s tossed out the iaea. Now we don’t know what they’re going to be building. How long do you think that, how long would the west, how long would Israel let that go? Every time I see headlines talking about Iran not allowing IAEA officials in, there’s no more communication. I’m thinking, is, is this allowing, is this giving Netanyahu the justification that he would need to carry out new bombings or a new attack or a new warning? How long do you think Iran could go without allowing the IAEA in? Forever.
How, how so? Because won’t, won’t the US And Israel respond to that, them not allowing the IAEA in? What, what are we going to do? I mean. Yeah. Do you think. Well, this last bombing was a bust. I mean, you know, Trump, oh, we obliterated them. It was the greatest thing if, come on, Iran is going to be, they’re already recovering on those facilities, but they moved, they moved the enriched uranium to another site before the bombing started. That was my understanding. That was the estimate within the intelligence community. But see, Trump is in the, you know, he’s ignoring the intelligence community and he ignores them at, at his own risk in that regard.
I’m not saying the, the IC is perfect. By no means. You know, as we saw with the report yesterday out of the New York Post about the fact that, you know, the CIA, Jim, Jim Clapper, John Brennan and James Comey had all conspired to produce a bogus intelligence report claiming Russia, you know, changed the outcome of the election, interfered with the 2016 election. But, but that said, you still have to. The intelligence community did have some good Information now, you know, we don’t. And Israel, Israel, it is incapable of launching new attacks on Iran and sustaining them.
They can’t. And if they attack, if they attack Iran, Iran’s going to turn around and start hitting them again, only this time they will hit them harder. They, you know, even, even die hard, rabid Zionists like Smotrich admitted that. Or was it Israel Cats, the Defense Minister, one of them admitted that. Heavens, we, we didn’t think Iran could hit us like that. Ben gvir. I think it was Ben Gavir. Yeah. Okay. Yeah. So they admit, hey, we, we miscalculated. No, no kidding. You know, they, they literally maybe this. Imagine that you’re squared off, you know, man of your size squared off with a five year old boy.
Five year old boy gets to take the first punch at you, maybe even has a hammer. He can hurt you, but then you punch him. He, the little kid can’t stand the kind of punches that a bigger, stronger foe is going to deliver. That’s exactly the situation between Israel and Iran. How did Israel with its intelligence program knowing so much of having infiltrated the top echelon of Tehran, how could Israel’s intelligence program not know that this was going to happen, not know that Israel would be outmatched if Iran decided, decided to strike back? Did they think that they would carry out that decapitation strike and be the end of it? Well, in fact, not only did they believe it, Donald Trump believed it.
That’s what he was told. He was briefed, he was brief that, you know, we’re going to hit him, we’re going to have a combined cyber attack. The United States did join in on that. We participated in that. We’re going to murder, kill, eliminate, you know, take whatever word you want, all of these top military and scientific officials and that we believe that that will cause the government to collapse. And with the collapse, we can then install a new regime that’s going to be more agreeable to the West. And remember Trump, within The first like 8 hours, 10 hours, was saying, I knew all about it, I knew when it was going to happen.
And then despite the cyber attack, where they anticipated that it would have knocked Iran offline for a week, Iran was back up and running within 12 hours, 10 hours, I think it was the exact number. And then they launched, they hit the, they had a counter strike with, with missiles. They penetrated, they shredded Israel’s air defense. So no, the Iron Dome was, you know, proved to be a joke, as was our, what they called Thad, the terminal high altitude Area defense system that turned out to be a bust, and, and Iran was shredding it. So then within 24 hours, 36 hours, Donald Trump.
What’s he saying? Doing a Sergeant Schultz imitation from Hogan’s Heroes. I didn’t know anything. I know nothing. I, I didn’t see anything. Oh, you know, so he went from knowing it all to knowing nothing. And that was, you know, that shows his level of concern that Israel now had picked a fight that he couldn’t win. And it took seven, seven more days before first it was Washington Post published and then the Wall Street Journal came online, said, hey, Israel’s going to run out of missiles, air defense missiles in two weeks. They’re not going to have anything.
They’re going to be completely wide open. Are you surprised that none of Iran’s proxies in the region, like Hezbollah or anyone else, any gulf, like, it seemed as though I was, you know, Iran says that they didn’t need any help, so it’s fine, like. But generally the Houthis remained quiet. Hezbollah was, was, remained completely silent. Iran said they didn’t need help. But do you think that that shows that Israel’s correct in saying that they were successful in really neutering a lot of the proxies in the region and Iran is weakened because of that? Well, they certainly haven’t neutered the Houthis.
I mean, the Houthis continue to fire missiles at them and they just fired another one yesterday. So they haven’t stopped the Houthis. They haven’t beat Hamas, even though they’re murdering civilians every day. But Hamas is still, you know, ambushing and killing Israeli soldiers. And that’s, you know, it’s a war of attrition that, you know, frankly, Israel cannot sustain. They always talk about the Samson option, that, you know, if Israel’s threat, it’ll bring the whole house down on top of itself, it’ll blow, you know, use nukes and doesn’t matter if they kill themselves. Well, one of the, I’ve heard the, the Iranians are talking about the Samsonite option.
Do you know what the Samsonite option is? Never heard of that. No. It’s where all of the Israelis pack their Samsonite bags and get the hell out of Israel. Yeah. So in fact, that’s what you’re seeing. You’re seeing a lot of a large number of the Israelis and more number now than before are getting out the leaving and, and so Israel at the outset was only 8 million people, and I think the estimate is at least 2 million have left. I mean, you know, New York City is bigger than Israel, population wise. Population wise. Yeah, yeah.
So here’s the Economist. Oh, sorry, were you about to. No, no, go, go ahead. Right. Sorry to wrote that. This is from the Economist, and I think this is. This, I think this sums up the Western take on. This is from this week’s issue of the Economist, and it says everyone involved in a conflict meeting the. The Israel Iran war can claim to have achieved their main goal. Israel did real damage to Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs, the stated aims of the war. The Iranian regime survived, weakened but intact. Mr. Trump dropped his big, beautiful bombs without getting sucked in to a long and unpopular conflict.
And the Gulf states avoided their nightmare scenario of a destructive Iranian attack on their soil. I think that sums up the Western media’s position really well. Yeah, it’s delusional. It’s delusional. Let me tell you why it’s delusional. Iran came out of this before the attack. You still had some significant political divisions in Iran. And despite Western, you know, the Western propaganda, you know, the, the mullahs did not exercise iron authority, you know, authoritarian power over the population. So it was a fairly open society with some splits in the aftermath of the attack. Even the opponents of the Ayatollah and the Mollus have come in favor of the regime now.
So it has actually strengthened Iran politically within its. Among its people. That’s number one. Number two, it has exposed, exploded the myth of Israeli invincibility. You know, up to this point, Israel’s been able to traffic on this. Now, we’re the biggest, we’re the best, we’re the strongest. Nobody can stop us. Well, now people are stepping back and looking, said they had to, they cried Uncle Sam to get the United States to intervene to bring it into the war. They then, they haven’t been able to defeat Hamas. And the Houthis, you know, continue to lob missiles in that.
Right now, Israel still has enough air defense that it can intercept most of them. But. So you’ve exposed the fact that Israel is not overwhelmingly powerful. And the same for the United States. You know, Trump took us in. You know, he expanded the operation in the Red Sea to quash the Houthis. He lasted seven weeks. And prior to the start of that operation, I guess it was March 1st. Prior to the start of that, the preceding 15 months, the Houthis had been downing an MQ9 Reaper once a month. Because the Reaper, the United States would fly the Reaper over territory it could locate real time where the mobile missile launchers were, and then it could actually hit them.
So in the previous 15 months, Houthis are shooting down about 1, 1amonth. Trump starts his operation, all of a sudden the Houthis are shooting down one a week. And you say, well, why is that important? Well, each one of them goes for about $35 million a pop. So all over, almost at a quarter of a billion dollars in lost MQ9 reapers in seven weeks. And then we lost three FA18 Hornets. And so remember, Trump said, hey, the Houthis, they’ve capitulated, we’re leaving, bye. The Houthis didn’t capitulate. They had a celebration. Other countries are watching that. So, you know, the United States and Israel, we can, we can pat each other on the back and tell us, man, you are a hell of a fighter.
You’re a hell of a fighter too, boy. Boy, we showed them. But everybody else is looking saying, these guys are not as strong as they pretend to be. They’re not as powerful as they pretend to be. So it doesn’t, you know, I think it damaged our credibility. The, the Israelis obviously go to the US first if they need help. Oh, yeah. And so Iran, who, who do they go first if, if they, if they found themselves being roughed up by Israel during this conflict, no Gulf state was going to step up, it seemed to help Iran.
No, it seems like that. And which is also one of the reasons why, in my view, the, the genocide in Gaza continues on. There’s, there’s no Gulf State willing to step up and make any. I mean, other than an occasional statement saying, you know, this needs to stop and we need a two state solution, who would Iran, in your view, if you were, you know, in a top echelon of Tehran’s leadership, who would you go to, to if you needed help and founded your back against the wall? Well, they’re Russia and China, those two in particular, with North Korea as a third option.
But North Korea has limited capabilities. But, you know, Iran’s always taking great pride. I don’t know if you’re old enough to remember the Excedrin commercial from the 60s where the woman would say, mother, please, I’d rather do it myself. Well, Iran’s a little bit like that. They want to stand on their own two feet. If you go back and look at the, when Iraq, at the U.S. behest, with U.S. support, with us, you know, money and weapons back in the 1919, 80, launched, encouraged Saddam Hussein to attack Iran. Iran fought that on its own, actually. I take it back.
It did get some military assistance from 1980, 81 until 1986. You know who was providing it with military assistance? Israel. Israel. In fact, last with that, when the bombings were, when Israel was wiping out, they, they showed a video. These F4s, we, we take out these old, these Iranian jets, these F4s. Well, those planes are about as old as I am, so, you know, like 70 years old. But in 1980, Iran needed new tires for that plane. They tried to get it from the US US Told him to go pound sand. So they went to Israel and Israel said, okay, we’ll get them for you.
Israel. Israel provided the tires that went on that plane. So my point in raising this is that Iran’s always been actually more of an independent country, but it signed a strategic security arrangement with Russia in January. It took the modulus, you know, the legislature, another two months to approve that. And Russia, according to Vladimir Putin, offered a defense treaty to Iran like it has with North Korea. And Iran turned it down. No, because they didn’t want to be obligated that if, if Russia got into, started a war, they didn’t want to be under an obligation that they’d have to intervene in a war that they didn’t think was, was just.
So that was one of the reasons. Now they may be rethinking that China as well is in a position to provide a significant military assistance. And I would note that Russia and China have been conducting annual naval exercises in the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman and the Indian Ocean since March of 2019. It’s always held first two weeks in March. So Russia and China, that’s the backup for Iran. And do you think, do you see this war as being over or do you see it as this is just the opening salvo? I heard someone, I think it might have been Scott Ritter.
He said Israel and the US Would be wrong if they approached Iran because they mentioned regime change. I don’t think they ever said that that was one of the goals of the war, but they definitely. Trump mentioned that ayatollah community is still alive because of the US and, and they at least floated some notion of a regime change in Iran, but Ritter said it would be in. It wouldn’t be a smart idea to approach Iran like you would Syria or Iraq, because now you’re talking about a country that is, you know, thousands of years old and it’s a completely different animal.
Do you think that the US and maybe Israel might be going with the same kind of a blueprint for regime change long term? Oh, yeah, absolutely. They haven’t given up on that. And you know, here’s the, here’s the irony of all of this. We’re told frequently in the west that Iran’s the number one sponsor of terrorism. Now, that’s just not true. It’s factually not true, but that’s what we’re told. And we’re told, oh, Iran’s out trying to assassinate Donald Trump. Iranian leader has said nothing about assassinating Donald Trump. There was a fatwa issued by a low level cleric in Iran that got hyped by the media where he declared that United States and Israel were enemies, but in that fatwa did not specifically call for assassinating Netanyahu or Trump.
But the United States and Israel regularly talk about killing Iranian leaders and in fact have done so repeatedly. I mean, that’s, you know, we’re doing psychological projection. We’re projecting onto Iran the very thing that we do. And it’s just, you know, Iran hasn’t been out assassinating us and Iran hasn’t been out conducting and funding terrorist groups to attack us specifically. It’s just not true. You go back and look, you know, my old office in the Bureau is now the Bureau of Counterterrorism. Every April they produce a report called Country Reports on Terrorism and there’s a statistical annex attached to it.
You go back and look over the last 10 years, the top terrorist groups are all Sunni, not Shia. And none of those groups are sponsored by, paid for or so trained by Iran. They get their money from the Gulf Arabs, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, you know, United Arab Emirate. So, but who do we declare as the terrorists? Iran. So it’s just, you got, you got a real disconnect here. But Israel Cots, the Defense Minister of Israel, specifically said that, that the goal was regime change. That’s what Israel was after. The. What I was watching Professor Morandi and I, I’m sure you might have, might have seen him, the Iranian professor, and.
Yeah, no, no, I know Sayed. Yeah, he’s a, he’s really an insightful guy on this issue. He’s an American. He’s an American. By the way, he was born in the US and then moved to Iran. Born in Ohio. Oh, wow. He’s a buckeye. He gave an insightful interview on Dialogue Works, a show that you’re on frequently, and he talked about. One of the things that I also found pretty interesting in the US Is how fast the media marched, the mainstream media in the U.S. how quickly it marched along with Trump to war with Iran. We started seeing Stories about Iranian sleeper CELLES in the U.S.
we talked about the nuclear program. And I’m old enough to remember Witkoff was interviewed on Fox News back and I think it might have been April, early April, and he said that the US or at least they could agree to an enrichment program in Iran. And I think the levels of the JCPOA, I think that might have been at like 3% or somewhere around 3%. Mark. Right. Netanyahu comes out the next day and says we need the Libya, the Libyan model where Iran would have to destroy the facilities. Zero enrichment. And the Trump administration on the dime changed its position.
So it’s interesting that we went from talking about enrichment in the media and allowing some to Iran is now rushing a weapon. We need to take this action or it’s, it’s over for Israel and, and not, you know, left wing, right wing. The mainstream media, they marched right along with that, that narrative. Yeah, yeah, go ahead, finish. Did you, did you notice that too? That, that. Oh, yeah, yeah. Look, we’re, we’re entirely held captive by the Zionist lobby. And you know, it’s, it’s, it’s a combination of money from wealthy Zionists that are in Israel, wealthy Zionists here in the United States, as well as, you know, the even evangelical Christian community is bought into this, this silly, silly concept that, well, God supposedly loves all people, but he thinks the Jews are really the most special ones and he loves them more than everybody else.
You know, it’s like a parent that, playing favorites with their, you know, their kids. Oh, I’m going to make sure that this one child gets more food, better clothes, better education than everybody else because they’re really my special. I mean, it’s, it’s, the entire premise of Zionism is, in my view, stupid. Yeah, it is, it reflects, it reflects a religious heresy. But we are beholden to it. We’re captive, we’re captive by it. And, and we keep coming up this stuff. Oh, Iran hates us because of our freedom. No, the Iranians have pretty good cause to hate us.
Number one, we, through Kermit Roosevelt, son of Teddy Roosevelt, who was a CIA chief of station in Iran, 1953, engineered the overthrow of a democratically elected government that was headed by a fellow named Mossadegh. And then we installed the Shah of Iran. I can’t not ask about Gaza and what you think’s happening there. Do you see this ending anytime soon? What’s going on in Gaza? Or, or is this like, it’s, it’s incredible the things that you see. If not for Places like X, nobody would know what’s going on there. To the, to the extent that people are seeing this.
Yeah, it keeps, it keeps freezing up. No, I, Hamas is not going to agree to this deal. It’s too long. So I, I anticipate that, you know, this wars, this war is still going to go on for a while. Unfortunately, you know, the Palestinians are being bled dry. Gaza, they, they continue to, they continue to fight. They’re not surrendering to Israel. Israel’s got every military advantage they could have. They got tanks, they got artillery, they got fixed wing aircraft, they got helicopters. You know, they have every, every possible advantage you could have on a battlefield. But, but the Hamas fighters continue to fight and to inflict casualties on the Israelis and frankly, casualties that the Israelis aren’t going to be able to sustain.
Politically, I mean, physically they could do it, but politically it creates a real problem. So we’re still confronted right now with this horror show where they, you know, in different states, in the United States, it’s illegal to put a block of salt out in a field to attract deer so that you could shoot the deer while they’re eating salt. That’s essentially what they’re doing now at these feeding stations in Gaza getting, getting the civilians where they come to those and then shoot them. And we’ve got, we’ve got US Contractors shooting these civilians. The, the Associated Press reported that yesterday.
Yeah, yeah. Video of some of the talk. Yeah, it’s just, it’s outrageous. So, but, but that, that war is going to continue and the Houthis are going to continue launching missiles into Israel and Iran right now is in the process of trying to repair the damage that was inflicted on it and boost its defenses because they’ve got some real gaps in their air defense. That was definitely proven. Well, Larry Johnson, sonar21.com We’re going to link at the bottom of this video. Thank you so much for joining me before the holiday weekend. Hey, Ed, my pleasure. I appreciate the invite.
Take care. Thank you.
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