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Summary
Transcript
Now under the previous Texas congressional map Republicans held 25 of their 38 seats. Now that Governor Greg Abbott has signed the new redistricting bill in the law as of yesterday, thank you Governor Abbott, Republicans will control 30 of Texas’s 38 congressional seats representing a staggering 79% of the state’s delegation. But what makes this redistricting victory all the more sweet is when you examine Al Green’s 9th congressional district which Kamala Harris won by crushing 44 percentage points in 2024. You ready for this? That Al Green district that voted for Kamala by 44 points has now been completely redrawn to favor Trump and the Republicans by 20 points.
So if you’re doing the math that represents a 64 point swing in favor of the Republicans, the largest single district transformation in Texas political history. And obviously that was not coincidental. The surgical precision of this redistricting offensive in Texas reveals the deliberate systematic strategy by the Republican Party to effectively eliminate and silence some of the most toxic voices in Congress. Again, what makes us even sweeter is that Al Green, oh man Al Green, will be joined by the equally repulsive Jasmine Crockett who also lost her seat. In fact, she was drawn out of her district.
She now represents currently a district that she doesn’t even live in anymore. So under the new maps, Crockett’s home in Dallas has been strategically moved from her current Texas 30 district into the newly redrawn Texas 33 district. But here’s the brilliance in that. Texas 33 will remain Democrat. It’s now controlled by Democrat Mark Veazey. So Crockett is now in a position that if she wants to represent this new district that her home is in, she would have to challenge a fellow Democrat in the primaries. Or she could try to win her old seat in the newly drawn Texas 30.
But the problem is that new seat where Crockett currently serves is getting 200,000 new voters from Tarrant County. And Tarrant County voted for Trump with 52% support. And so obviously they’re not going to want anything to do with this fake ghetto girl no more. So Jasmine Crockett is up a creek. She’s been redistricted out of her district with the new district already represented by an incumbent Democrat. And her old district now is far more Republican. So either way, she’s gone. As for his part, Al Green, the 22-year incumbent who led two failed impeachment efforts against President Trump, pathetic ones at that, he just announced that he will no longer represent his Houston district after the new maps carved up his political base.
And he openly admitted that he and most of his constituents now live in a redrawn district that heavily favors Republicans, forcing them to reconsider running in a completely different area where he lacks any established support network and the like. Now, what’s so awesome with all of this is that Green and Crockett are just the tips of the proverbial iceberg here. Texas is just the beginning. Texas represents only the opening battle on what experts are calling the most consequential redistricting war since Reconstruction. So Republican operatives estimate that they can gain at least, and that’s the key, at least 12 new congressional seats nationwide through strategic map redrawing.
So with Texas contributing five, Florida targeting four, Ohio targeting two to three, Missouri, Indiana, they’re planning additional pickups of one each. We’re now getting where the Kansas is joining the redistricting fight that was brought up last night. So they too will contribute to another seat. And again, Louisiana, we’ve talked about this. They are currently in front of the Supreme Court to get the court to overturn a Democrat district that was drawn according, using explicitly racial and thus discriminatory demography. And so as we speak, we’re looking at a pickup of at least 12 seats from the midterms.
Even if Gavin Newsom’s desperate attempt at redrawing five more Democrat seats in California, which is already radically gerrymandered, but even if that’s successful, Republicans will still have a pickup net of seven. And what’s so key here is that the Cook Political Report currently has the Republicans sitting pretty comfortably with about 212 seats before any of this redistricting is implemented. So only about 10% of congressional seats are viable, right? It’s only a few dozen swing seats that could go either way, and Democrats currently sit in about 70% of them. So the Republicans are now sitting comfortably with 212 safe seats.
And so when you add just the seven that were netting if, and that’s a very strong if, California succeeds in its redistricting, that gives the GOP 219 seats one more than they need to retain the majority of 218 without winning a single swing seat, a single toss-up seat. And again, I need to stress that 2019 is at a minimum. If the Supreme Court overturns the VRA, the Voting Rights Act, which has been used to racially gerrymander upwards of 25 Democrat seats across the country, if the court overturns that, which it looks like they will sometime this December, then those 25 seats literally disappear overnight, and they’re all Democrat.
And so obviously, the strategic implications extend far beyond 2026. In fact, current data shows that Republican state lawmakers can flip if they want to, if they have the political will to 55 Democrat congressional seats nationwide. In other words, there are still 55 Democrat seats in red states. Whereas in blue states, there are only about 35 Republican held districts. So again, if they went thorough nuclear warfare here, they went all the way and they took out all of their respective Democrat and Republican districts, Republicans would still come out 20 seats ahead.
This structural advantage provides Republicans multiple future opportunities for additional gains, while Democrats face increasingly limited options for retaliation. So I think it goes without saying that timing could not possibly be more perfect for Republicans in all this, with Trump’s approval ratings remaining stubbornly high, higher than Obama’s at this point in his second term. This redistricting offense provides crucial insurance against potential losses in the midterms. The elimination of Crockett and Green represents more than tactical political maneuvering. It signals the systematic dismantling of the progressive coalition that has poisoned American political discourse for years.
Their political obituaries mark the beginning of a new era where America first, not radical ideology, will shape our nation’s future in the halls of Congress for at least the next generation and beyond. So what do you guys think? Who are you glad to see gone more? Oh man, Al Green or Jasmine Crockett? Let us know in the comments section below. And of course, as always, make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button for breaking news and analysis you’re not going to hear anywhere else. God bless. Enjoy your Labor Day weekend.
[tr:trw].See more of Dr. Steve Turley on their Public Channel and the MPN Dr. Steve Turley channel.