➡ The speaker discusses the potential for conflict in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran, and the possible outcomes. They suggest that the situation has been developing for decades and could result in various scenarios, from a quick, limited conflict to a more extensive war. The speaker also mentions the potential impact on oil prices and the global economy, and suggests that the real conflict is between larger powers like the U.S., China, and Russia. They believe the purpose of potential conflict is to disrupt China’s oil supply from Iran.
➡ The article discusses a potential conflict that could disrupt 20-25% of the world’s oil supply, causing prices to skyrocket. It suggests that Iran, an ambiguous nuclear state, could potentially use or create a nuclear weapon if they feel threatened. This conflict could also involve the US and Israel, leading to a global trade war and possibly affecting Russia and China. The situation could escalate, causing significant economic and political instability worldwide.
➡ The article discusses potential military conflicts involving the US, Russia, and Iran. It suggests that Russia may be preparing for a possible attack, while the US might be planning a regime change in Iran. The article also mentions the possibility of a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which could drastically increase oil prices and impact global economies. The author speculates that this could lead to a long-term war similar to Vietnam, and that the US is preparing for this possibility by increasing military budgets.
➡ The article discusses potential conflicts involving Iran, Russia, and the United States, with a focus on the Strait of Hormuz and the potential for Iran to close it. It suggests that such a move could lead to a full-blown war, affecting global oil supply and potentially leading to the collapse of the Iranian government. The article also mentions the possibility of Iran using nuclear weapons and the potential for cyber attacks and disruptions in the global oil supply. It ends by discussing the potential for a world war and the various geopolitical tensions that could be inflamed in such a scenario.
➡ The article discusses the potential for artificial intelligence to create realistic videos that could be used to spread misinformation and cause panic. It also mentions the political tension between countries like Iran, China, and Russia, and the possibility of this leading to a nuclear war. The article further talks about the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the mobilization efforts in Belarus and Russia, suggesting that these could be signs of an upcoming war. Lastly, it encourages readers to be prepared for any possible scenario.

It’s been a while since I’ve addressed the Canadian Prepper audience with a World War 3 update. In light of current circumstances in the Middle east and the emergent crisis unfolding in Iran, and the very high likelihood of a near term flare up in hostilities in that region, I feel that it’s appropriate to address my main audience now. If you want daily updates on these things, go and check out the Prepper news channel. I assure you that my opinion here is fairly well informed and based solely on facts. However, I will of course give you my opinion and share my speculations about what I think is going to happen.

Now, I want to talk about the best case scenario that could come out of this, the medium case scenario, and the absolute worst of worst case scenarios. We’re going to start with the best case scenario, but I would implore you to stick around to the end because there is a possibility that this situation reaches out and touches people. This is not something that we’re necessarily going to be able to vicariously experience through our monitors. What people first need to understand is that this war that is about to commence has been planned for decades. This is not something that was cooked up on just Trump’s watch.

This is a continuity of agenda plan that has been in the works probably for over 20 years since the US conducted a military drill called the Millennium Challenge in which they simulated an all out war, a naval war with Iran. Now, in that simulation, the United States lost that war. Some people attributed that to the exceptional capabilities of the commander who was role playing the Iranian generals. Others say that it’s a losing battle and that in a war of attrition, the Americans would not prevail. However, times have changed. Technology has improved. Artificial intelligence has introduced a whole new dimension and force multiplying capability that can potentially compensate for the numerical deficiencies and the quantity that could be brought to bear.

Now, I think it’s highly unlikely that we see regime change in Iran, and even if we do, the power vacuum that gets filled there could in fact be much, much worse. It’s very similar to the situation in Russia whereby it’s Vladimir Putin, whether people want to admit it or not, who is holding back a lot of the more aggressive war hawks who likely would have pushed the nuclear button a long time ago. Now, right now we’re seeing the price of oil as of this Friday quite subdued, relatively speaking. If I was to tell somebody five years ago that the United States has amassed an armada of dozens of warships and a couple of aircraft carriers, hundreds of fighter jets and warplanes and the lion’s share of their missile defense, their most advanced missile defense capabilities, mass evacuations out of the Middle east from all countries.

Most people would have thought, especially in light if I had told them that B2 bombers had already smoked Iranian nuclear facilities and we already decapitated the leadership. People would be very surprised if I told them that oil was only $60 a barrel. Okay? So oil is not pricing in the worst case scenario. Now that doesn’t mean that oil is smart and that doesn’t mean that the money who’s invested in that oil knows exactly how this is going to play out. It does however, indicate that there is a plan that, that I think the people in charge, the people who are in the know, don’t want to get out of control.

But that doesn’t mean it won’t get out of control. It seems to suggest with this very muted oil price that they are expecting something limited. And it’s going to be an in and it’s going to be an out. Okay? It’s going to be a fast shock and awe type blitzkrieg strike which is not going to have enduring negative impacts on the global oil supply. Today, towards the end of the video, I’m going to tell you my worst case scenario and I would encourage you to stick around for that because that definitely is not the case in that scenario.

Now let’s talk about the best case possible scenario that could unfold here from a Western point of view. In the best case of scenarios, we here in North America and even to Europe, although to a lesser extent we don’t really have to worry about much. Maybe a very slight but short lived spike in oil prices. But beyond that, nothing that is going to trigger widespread inflation or supply chain bottlenecks or anything like that. In the best case scenario, as I recently suggested, it’s likely going to be standoff strikes. It’s going to be limited. It’s going to be a quick exhaustion of the munitions that are currently being stockpiled in the theater that of course are leveraging the 260 cargo planes that have been directed towards that region just in the past month alone.

That of course is not counting everything that’s come since the last 12 day war, which has been numerous flights, probably double or if not triple that amount. But of course the rapidity of the deliveries that we’re seeing right now is what’s so significant. If there is limited retaliation from the Iranians and there is not a decapitation, not a successful decapitation, if the United States goes In there, hits their nuclear facilities, takes out some of their missile capabilities and their launch capabilities, life likely remains unchanged. And Russia and China, their interests remain largely unperturbed. That is the best case of scenario.

Your life doesn’t really change much on the whole if the Ayatollah survives and is not martyred, because martyring the Ayatollah would be the ultimate martyrdom in the Islamic community. And so that could trigger widespread unrest and indeed a regional war and a huge retaliation. So if strikes are limited to military targets, that is, if it’s simply a counter force approach, as opposed to a counter value approach, which is what we’ll talk about next, which is in our mid tier assessment, then I think life goes on, at least in the short term, which is not to say it’s not going to flare up again.

However, I’m going to tell you why I don’t think this is the case. For starters, I don’t agree with the premise that Iran poses a threat to the United States, or Israel for that matter. What people need to understand is that there’s a broader geopolitical situation here such that the real war is between China and Russia in the United States, or more appropriately, the Shanghai Corporation brics to a certain degree, although India is kind of on the fence with that. Russia and NATO in the United States and Israel, essentially. So. So it’s these two east versus west axes that are at war with one another.

And the center of gravity in the east is China. And because the United States cannot confront China directly, we have to engage in trade wars and embargoes and capturing vassal states, presidents in the middle of the night and of course sowing chaos in these adjacent second tier nations, which of course these big nations like China, their resource base is drawn from. So the whole purpose, in my personal opinion, of this war is to hurt China because China gets around 20% of its oil from Iran. And while 20% might not seem like a significant amount, there is of course potential for China to get a lot more oil if Iran wasn’t under sanctions.

And considering that China recently got around, I’m not sure what the actual percentage was, but it was a fairly significant amount of oil from Venezuela. That’s going to have to be made up for somewhere. And unfortunately, Russia only has a certain amount of supply and cannot meet all of China’s needs, at least not at this point in time. So the purpose of this war, I think, is to sow chaos. The purpose is not necessarily to even get rid of the Ayatollah per se. But to cause a region wide civil war which will basically render the Iranian or oil and gas operations untenable.

Now this is where things get problematic because if they take a counter value approach and if they actually start to target Iranian ports and Iranian oil refineries in an attempt to really throttle the quote unquote regime’s capability to continue to stave off revolution for another month, then Iran has said that they will hit, they will do a counter strike of proportional value on neighboring countries assets. That means places like Saudi Aramco oil refineries in the Gulf states, places that play host to US military bases, who, even though most of these countries have openly denied us access to their airspace, everybody knows that typically it is leveraged to one extent or another when running these types of operations.

So this would put Iran in a situation where their only leverage then is to attack the critical infrastructure of those nations that play host to the US bases that of course are being used to wage war against Iran. Now this is the mid case scenario, right? This is where you’re going to see a much greater spike in the price of oil, not even by virtue of closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which we’ll talk about in a moment, which would of course suspend about 20 to 25% of the world’s oil supply, which would cause the price of oil to completely explode.

But possibly even worse than that, going to the actual spigot of the oil itself, destroying the manufacturing and the processing and the mining capability of these raw materials themselves. In this scenario, as opposed to the limited strike scenario, this will likely be a weeks long campaign and there’ll be many opportunity for a false flag. There’ll be many opportunities for error and possible things to go not so much according to plan. And so in this scenario we will see a shock and awe type approach. We will see oil prices spike and probably a lot more than they would if this is just a weekend one and done scenario.

Because this means in a mid case scenario where this is a many week long campaign, that means the markets are going to be open. In the best case of scenario they get in there on Saturday, they do everything they have to do over a 48 hour period and the markets have a little bit of time to process it and by Tuesday everything is back to normal. Okay? In this scenario this thing plays out for several weeks. That’s a lot of trading days and that’s a lot of potential for calamity in the markets. In this scenario we will see significant Iranian retaliation and we will see fatalities on the US side at US bases.

The Iranians have withheld a lot of their capabilities because they lack escalation dominance. And what that means is that ultimately at the end of the day, at least according to, based on official understanding, they don’t have nuclear weapons. Now many refer to them as a ambiguous nuclear state, meaning that they have the capability, they have the know how, and they even have the highly enriched uranium that was allegedly destroyed according to the POTUS last year. But now of course he’s saying it hasn’t been. And they want that highly enriched uranium to be extricated from Iran either by the Russians or by the International Atomic Energy Agency.

Now Iran has not agreed to this, okay? And with that highly enriched uranium estimates vary depending on the type of warhead. You could build several nuclear weapons or could have already built several nuclear weapons. They have the scientists, they have the capabilities, they have the deployment system to at least build 20 nuclear weapons in a short period of time. Now I’ve heard estimates depending on how they leverage this nuclear material that they could actually get up to 100 nuclear weapons in the hundred plus kiloton range out of this small amount of highly enriched uranium. But, but I’m not an expert on that.

I would encourage you to go and check out the channel. What is the channel called? Sorry, I don’t have a script here guys, but I will post a link in the description below where they explain that process. It’s a very well done video. Now, as an ambiguous nuclear state, the United States and Israel must presume that there is a possibility that if Iran feels that there is an existential threat to their nation that they will potentially use a nuclear weapon. There’s of course advantages to being an ambiguous threshold nuclear state as opposed to a explicit nuclear state.

For one, you’re not in violation of the non Proliferation Treaty, which I think at this point in time treaties really don’t matter. The rules based order is a thing of the past if there ever was one. And so nuclear deterrence, the whole purpose of it is to show that you have nukes so countries do not attempt what the United States is about to attempt. You would never see this type of thing happening in South Korea because of course North Korea openly has stated that they have nuclear weapons, of course to their own peril. It’s hurt them economically to a great extent.

Now in Iran’s case, they’re in a situation where they could potentially use or create a nuclear weapon if they haven’t already. I’ve had many guests on who think they already have them okay. And I think it would be naive to think that they don’t have the plan to in the very least put one together at the last minute should things go awry. And so in this scenario, we may see spillover not just in terms of Iran attacking US Military bases, but potentially spilling over into Israel. Because understand the difference here with this war between the 12 day war is that this is a war with the United States.

Even though the United States was playing defense for Israel, the they were providing isr, they provide all of the military equipment, all of the munitions. There are probably a lot of US dual citizen pilots flying for Israel. So the US did have a huge hand in the 12 day war as well, of course, as the B2 bombers and that raid that they did with Midnight Hammer. But this is a different scenario. Okay? So right now the Iranians are looking at the United States. They knew that, at least officially, there was this illusion that the Israelis and the Americans were at odds over what to do over the 12 day war.

And of course, there was this feigned division between Netanyahu and Trump that played out to create the illusion that these guys were on opposite sides and the United States was trying to rein them in like a parent trying to rein in an unruly child. And of course, the United States came to the Israeli rescue and brokered a deal at the last minute as they expended most of their defensive capability. This time, however, they are openly fighting the United States. Now Israel is pretending as though they’re not going to get directly involved, but when you factor in their firepower, the amount of aviational power that could be brought to bear in this war exceeds 1,000 warplanes.

That includes stratotankers, that includes electronic warfare planes, that includes bombers, fighter jets, all manner of aviational capability as well of course, as surface to surface capabilities that the Israelis have, and nuclear submarines and all kinds of various naval vessels. So that situation could escalate beyond strictly a war with the United States warplanes and the US Navy. Now if Israel gets involved and if Iran out the jump attacks Israel in addition to U.S. bases, I think that’s when we start to get into a potential worst case scenario situation, because then Israel is going to get involved. And if they’re involved with the United States openly, because they’re going to be involved covertly.

But if they’re openly involved, then that limits Iran’s range of options for fighting a war between the United States with the world’s greatest military expeditionary force is one thing fighting their primary vassal who based their entire military doctrine around fighting Iran and its proxies. That’s another thing altogether. And this will compel, I think, the Iranians to cease to be a threshold nuclear state and actually be a, a nuclear state. In addition to that, this is going to exacerbate the global trade war. It is going to increase the likelihood of spillover into Russia and potentially China. It’s going to increase the likelihood that future China action on Taiwan in some way, shape or form takes place.

Because of course China needs Iranian oil. And if, if Iran is Balkanized and turned into Syria 2.0, then that oil is not necessarily guaranteed. And that’s really bad for the Chinese economy. Now it’s bad for the global economy as well. Because you see, if you take Iran’s oil off the global economy, even though it’s only 3% or so, it still is going to have a significant impact because it’s not just a 1 to 1 increase in terms of supply and demand. There’s always a bidding war that ensues, you know, before things find economic equilibrium. So in this situation, I would put it as a Russian code yellow and a China code red.

Because for Russia they have to be very careful because that southern flank is one of the few flanks and that they don’t have to worry about quite as much. I mean, the Russians are facing all of NATO right now. They have to worry about the Arctic, they have to worry about the Western front from their perspective, which of course is our eastern front. And of course I’m referring to the intermarium states like Finland and the Baltics and Poland and of course the war that’s going on in Ukraine since Azerbaijan and Armenia brokered that deal. They of course have been implicated in the attacks on Iran previously and very well could play a role again now if Iran falls.

That soft underbelly, in fact, I can show you. Okay, so I’m not sure if you can see that there. So in yellow is Iran and the big country right above it. This is Russia. Okay. Now Russia of course has a lot of its over the horizon radars. They’re expecting missiles to come from Europe, they’re expecting missiles to come over the Arctic and you know, from nuclear submarines probably somewhere in the Atlantic. The majority of their population is right here. I’m sure they have a lot of military targets out here in Siberia that US SSBM, SLBMs, nuclear submarines would attack in this direction.

And of course, you know, stealth bombers could potentially take off and, and hit targets all throughout there. But the Ukrainians recently targeted and when I say recently, I believe this was in May 2024, they recently targeted Russia’s over the horizon radars, which were located in Verones, which I believe covered a significant portion of this Middle East. Now, there is a very unlikely scenario that the Russians need to be mindful of, and that is while all attention is focused on Iran, it very well could be the case that in light of Zelensky’s statements to one of his cohorts today, that he thinks that negotiations have actually failed and that the war is going to continue for another three years.

Does Russia have three years at this current rate of attrition? And is this explaining why they are covertly starting to mobilize more soldiers? I’ll get to that in just a moment. But they would be on a much higher state of readiness because to make a long story short, they don’t know if this huge military buildup is really a threat to Iran or is it a threat to them. I’ve long since suspected that there is a plan in place to do a decapitation strike on Russia. All this stuff you’re hearing about the Golden Dome and the mobilization of Greenland, they’re trying to slowly surround Russia.

It’s a very big country and they have limited resources. They’re quite bogged down right now in Ukraine, which is not to say that they don’t have lots of manpower at their disposal and a fairly significant industrial capacity to fight long winded wars of attrition. But I think a lot of people sometimes overestimate that capability to an extent. So this brings us, of course, to the worst case scenario and I apologize if it’s taken so long to get here. When I do my daily updates, I cover all this stuff in depth and sometimes I forget what I’ve talked about in those recent videos and I forget that I’m addressing now a different audience.

In the worst case scenario, the US Attempts decapitation, total regime change, and then you potentially have martyrdom and hawks emerge in Iran. Now, whether or not they’re successful in this respect, I don’t even know if that matters at that point because I’m not sure that’s something they’re going to relent on. If they fail, they’re going to commit to a protracted war in Iran. We may well see boots on the ground or they will leverage boots on the ground from surrounding countries. The problem is, and it’s kind of a catch 22 people seem to be of the persuasion that if Americans come home in coffins, then all of a Sudden the American people are going to be protesting an end to the war.

And while that might be the case, I think there’s an equivalent demographic out there who would. This would be a patriotic invocation, a call to arms of sorts, very similar to the response to like a 911 or a false flag or a Pearl harbor type event. Dead soldiers can work both ways is what I’m trying to say. So we could potentially see this being the opening salvo to a much longer Vietnam style war. And this would explain why the Pentagon is preparing for much bigger budgets in the coming years. And of course all the propaganda surrounding the importance of building up the military capabilities in order to fight the Proverbial World War 3.

Now in this scenario, Iran fights hard. Iran hits back very hard. They potentially wipe out a lot of US bases and they possibly even target warships, possibly even sink said warships. Now it’s very difficult to sink an aircraft carrier, especially with the types of missiles that are going to be maneuverable. And unless they’re nuclear, to put a big enough payload and to hit it in just the perfect spot, you need to hit those things several times. Okay, The US military has done testing on it and, and these things are double hulled and very difficult. Now if you hit a nuclear powered aircraft carrier, which all of the aircraft carriers in the US arsenal are, then you’re talking about a radiological incident and we’ve never seen that before.

So we don’t know what the outcome is going to be. I mean you could hear the US decry Geneva Convention violations for all we know. Because of course there is a Geneva Convention that dictates that you can’t target, not that anybody really abides by it anyways, but that you can’t target nuclear facilities. So aircraft carriers are kind of this gray zone, right, because they’re kind of a nuclear facility. They’re kind of a base. But you know, so I guess we’re going to find out do they have the capability to take out those warships? They have anti ship missiles, which from a variety of different generations that they seem confident that they will be able to in the very least score some hits.

Will those hits suffice in derobing and eroding the aura of invincibility that the west is relying on right now? Because with that Maduro raid that spooked a lot of world leaders. Okay? It really did. And it was a 4D chess move if there ever was one, because you were able to essentially keep up this mystique of indomitability with the rest of the world while incurring little to almost no losses. So it was very well played. Will they be able to do something like that in Iran? It’s yet to be seen. It’s possible they could. To me it seems unlikely just based on the terrain, based on the tenacity of the Iranians.

You know, comparing the Iranians to the Venezuelans, it’s not even close. Okay, these people have mastered nuclear science, they’ve mastered rocket science. Not even the same league. Venezuela was wholly dependent on other nations armaments. The Iranians are selling their weapons like the Shahi drones, which are one of the most impactful and most used weapons in the current war against NATO. Okay, so a lot of people forget that this is one of the most ubiquitous weapon systems that has shaped the face of the war with Ukraine. Now in this worst case scenario, we see a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

The Iranians recently ran a drill where they demonstrated that they could not only hit the Strait of Hormuz from a variety of different platforms that are based in and around that region. Let me just zoom in for it. Might as well use this map. And so not only could they, could they hit it from the shorelines, but the missile launch was from well deep into Iran where it was launched and it followed a pathway, something like that, and then into the, into the strait. And of course this would mean that there’s a huge radius of capability.

And well, obviously the Iranians have missiles that can, you know, travel I think up to 3500km. So obviously they can hit a ship from anywhere. But I think what they were trying to demonstrate for the west and for American military planners is that if you think you’re just going to be able to turn this into a green zone and everything will be okay, you’re wrong. You’re going to have to turn the entire southern region of the country green before you can guarantee safe passage for commercial vessels. And of course commercial vessels are defenseless, unlike warships. So we see a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, we see a drastic increase in the price of oil, easily over $100 a barrel.

And honestly the sky is the limit after that. We see panic because this is the scenario where it really starts to impact us. In the previous scenario, prices marginally go up because indeed the only thing that is suppressing inflation in North America at this point in time is the price of oil. If the price of oil were to go up, that would mean that inflation would get out of control and everybody would have to raise their prices People would be not very happy. Because of course, I think that’s part of the reason why people are giving Trump a green light for this conflict.

But what that also means is, is that the Fed would likely lower interest rates. And so there’s a monetary component to all of this as well. And if they lower interest rates, you know what that means? That means it’s time for some more qe, some time for more money printing, which is why gold today closed over $5,100 an ounce. In fact, it is the highest weekly close for gold in history this week. And that went completely unnoticed by a lot of people. So there will be major impacts. If we’re talking about an extended multi month closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and if oil doubles in price, that means a lot of other things are going to double in price also.

That’ll be bad for China, that’ll also be bad for the United States. However, what they could do is they could allow Chinese flagged vessels to pass through the strait. They can be very selective in terms of who is allowed to pass through the strait. So when they say we’re going to close this Strait of Hormuz, a lot of people think, oh, well, that means China’s not going to get oil either. Not necessarily. They could give them the maps of the minefields that exist. Could that be hacked? Could that be information that is acquired by the United States? Sure, but the mines are just a backup plan.

Of course there’s the missiles that are the main threat. And no commercial vessel is going to be insured if there’s a full blown war with Iran. And they’ve openly declared the Strait of Hormuz closed, a no maritime zone. So in this scenario, this creates a real problem for Russia going back to the potential collapse of Iran. In this worst case scenario, the likelihood of collapse of the Iranian government is highest. And this is why right now you are seeing covert mobilization happening in Russia. And there’s a lot of indicators to suggest that. And while that story emerges from the Institute for the Study of War, which is a very pro Western media source, the there’s a lot of other indicators that corroborate that.

Okay, so this makes Russia’s flank, especially this Caspian Sea, okay, It makes it very vulnerable at this point in time, when right now they’re being hit from all directions with Ukrainian drones and Ukrainian missiles, which I’m not so sure. These missiles that are being fired are completely homegrown Ukrainian missiles, obviously, and most people understand that. This is why you’re seeing widespread conscription not only in Russia, but in Belarus as well, as they prepare for a widening of the war. In this scenario, the war potentially reaches out to us here in the West. I’m going to read you a quote by one of the members of the National Security Commission.

Okay. This is higher than the military in Iran. Sardar Maghadam, a member of the Iranian National Security Commission of the Parliament of Iran, said the following. It’s not unlikely that in a war a US Warship could be sunk or their forces captured. We can harm all American forces, whether soldiers or generals. We can also target the United States itself. In the event of war, Iran’s attacks may not be limited to the Middle east region. And we can also target the United States itself because our missiles have no range limitations. You might even see us hit Trump’s own palace.

Now, I assure you, if that happened, it would be nuclear war. The problem is, if Iran has nukes, where are they going to use those nukes? Well, you know where they’re going to use them. They’re going to going to use them on Tel Aviv. And then in the 12 day war, they demonstrated that they could put a missile smack dab in the center on target in Tel Aviv. And the accuracy of Iranian missiles, they don’t get enough credit. They were hitting radars that are pretty small, relatively speaking, considering how far these things have to travel. And the telemetry and the ISR limited capabilities that Iran has, they’re hitting launchers, air defense launchers inside Tel Aviv that are hidden in civilian areas and hitting them with pinpoint precision.

Okay, so imagine if you put a nuke on that, on one of these hypersonic weapons that Israel has no capability to defend against, then that’s trouble. So while it’s true that it’s very likely in that scenario, Tehran possibly would be wiped off the face of the earth. So would Tel Aviv. And Israel is around 1/70 the size of Iran. And so they only need a handful of nukes to render that small area uninhabitable. Now, in terms of how this is going to impact us, little bit more. Iran has tested intercontinental ballistic missiles, and I think this was part of the concern because it’s one thing for North Korea to have the ICBM capability and the nuclear capability.

It’s baffling just to think like, wow, they’ve done that. They, they actually have the ability to put a nuke on New York City, the North Koreans. It’s another thing to think that the Iranians can do that, especially when they’re a threshold nuclear State. But would the Iranians do that? There is a fatwa which is a prohibition of activities in Islam and the fatwa on nuclear weapons forbids it. However, I think that this is largely subjective because of course Pakistan has nuclear weapons. The Saudis who have a mutual defense pact with Pakistan are co signing Pakistan’s nuclear weapons.

Turkey, which is a Muslim state, also hosts nuclear weapons. However, there is a gray area here as well and that’s in the realm of emp. Detonating a nuclear weapon at a high altitude would cause a massive blackout on the east coast. You’d probably have to use several nuclear weapons and it’s quite possible that if the US mustered all of their air defense is that they’d have a significant chance of taking out one or two of these depending on how many decoys were fired. These things are traveling in excess of Mach 15, which is like hitting a bullet with a bullet.

I don’t even think is the right analogy. It’s traveling much faster than that. But I’m not so sure that’s going to happen. But we could see cyber attacks and widespread disruptions at the gas pump. Okay, we’re talking about gas wars. We’re talking about people stockpiling. We’re talking about a panicked scenario not just in Iran, but around the world. Because this will have a cascading effect. The Russians will have to increase their lower their DEFCON level, meaning that their nuclear state of readiness will be much, much higher. The Chinese are also more prone to make a move on Taiwan in this scenario because they need that for leverage.

It may be the case that the US has dominion over the petro producing states. China, however, in their backyard is the next best thing to oil. And the new oil, which of course is data. And without chips from the tsmc. Even if China was to just destroy those trips or hold them for ransom and say if you don’t back off Iran, we’re going to destroy the fabs in Taiwan. We don’t even want the country. We’re just going to make sure that you can have those chips. Because of course China has a domestic chip manufacturing capability. While the US will say well then we’re going to destroy your facilities, then it is 100% World War Three.

That’s it. Now I’m not even talking about what’s going on between Japan and China, what’s going on between South Korea and North Korea. But all of these tensions get inflamed in this worst case scenario in a really really bad way. Okay, never mind Europe and Russia, which is Quite likely the place where I think things could go nuclear first. But if anyone’s going to use a theater nuclear weapon and justify it as they had no other choice, it’s going to be Israel first. Some people say that the reason why Trump intervened is because Israel threatened they were going to use a nuclear weapon after the 12 day war because they were losing.

But I don’t even know if they were losing. There’s a lot of disinformation on both sides and a lot of bias. Of course, what we’re also going to see in this potential blackout scenario caused by distributed Denial of Service attacks, attack as well as potential latent malware, we could see sleeper cells emerge, even though it would be out of character for the Iranians who have never, and I say never, conducted a terrorist act on Western soil. Most people don’t know that. I think there has been like one or two that they’ve been linked to and there’s been some alleged plots that have been foiled by the FBI.

But, you know, I mean, that could very well just be made up propaganda. There has never actually been, you know, terrorist attacks. A lot of the terrorist attacks have been perpetrated, perpetrated by people who used to align themselves with the CIA, as many of you know, like ISIS and Al Qaeda. So we could see that. However, we could see sleeper cells emerge. And there’s a lot of vulnerabilities, a lot of soft targets in the United States. You take out a handful of transformers in the United States and it lights out for a long period of time.

And guess where you order those transformers from? You order them from China, okay? And so this is more leverage that China has if our lights go out. The only way we’re fixing that problem, at least in a expedient fashion, is if China sends us replacement parts. AI generated disinformation campaigns is another factor. Sam Altman today, I was just listening to him, he said, I can’t remember the exact quote. I did a video the other day on bioweapons that that’s supposed to be one of the greatest risks of 2026 that they foresee. But also the models that they’re about to release are going to change things in such a fundamental way that year that it’s going to be highly disruptive.

We know that Anthropic was used in the raid on Maduro for data processing. It’s very likely that in an intermittent lights out scenario, and I warn people about this because we’ve never experienced it, this is the first time where we can Say that we have the ability to create artificial general intelligence video, which was or generated video which is indistinguishable from reality. And so what that means is that you could get a message on your phone that was maybe temporarily shut off, but hacked. You could get hacked. And it could be the President or if you’re in Iran, it could be the Ayatollah or his generals telling people to lay down their arms or fabricating stories like the Ayatollah has been killed or something to trigger panic buying or riotous behavior.

This is going to be a factor in this war. It’s a whole new dimension to, well, fifth dimensional warfare, fifth generation warfare. So in this scenario then it’s a code red for both China and Russia because a weakened Iran is not good for China. Russia, it destroyed Iran, that actually succumbs to Western color revolutions. That’s really bad for China and Russia and that will absolutely force them to ratchet up their war fronts. So for all these reasons, I think what we’re seeing right now is very likely to impact us in some way, shape or form. I think the most likely outcome is going to be middle of the road because I hope people in positions of authority in our society still have enough sense to not run up the escalation ladder that fast.

I do think ultimately this culminates into a nuclear exchange between east and West. It’s just a matter of when. Now. Right now. I told you that I was going to briefly talk about the mobilization efforts that are going on in Belarus and Russia. Well, firstly, I will say that Ukraine has claimed that negotiations have failed and that they need to prepare for another three year war. Zelinsky had mentioned in a narrow circle of advisors that the negotiations had failed and Ukraine needs to prepare a war plan for at least another three years. That was according to the Wall Street Journal.

And I think we can derive that from some of the things that Zelensky has been tweeting as of late as well. It doesn’t seem like there’s been any progress made. Both sides are extremely intransigent and maximalist in their demands. In Russia, they have banned Telegram, which is a Russian app. I think it’s primarily for the purpose of maintaining, what do they call it, opsec. I think a lot of these channels have been compromised. And on the flip side though, it could also be because they are concerned about spooking the public about an upcoming military draft. At least that’s the rumor.

Okay? And you got to be very careful with some of these rumors. But as Much as NAFO churns out a lot of bs, they’re also right about a lot of things. And it seems like in Belarus, they’re being far more overt in their mobilization. They’re giving people summons that they need to prepare for duty in a matter of hours and that these tours are going to be one to two months. Now, they’re saying this is just training and simulating what it would be like in a real world emergency scenario, that this is just a drill. But a lot of people believe that.

Now, in addition to that, mobile phone operators are now required to disconnect communications at the request of the fsb. And this law was signed today by Vladimir Putin, meaning that no more phones for soldiers. Okay, so that’s a pretty significant move this day and age. It makes perfect sense that you would want that kind of digital hygiene on a battlefield. I would not want to be carrying a cell phone around when there’s quadrocopter drones flying around everywhere. Nonetheless, I think this signals that they’re trying to do damage control and they’re trying to control the narrative and they don’t want to spook the population.

So I think I’ve given you enough reason to bolster your preparedness efforts in the near term, just in case. Let’s hope it is the best of best case scenarios. But the way things have been going, I have aged probably a couple years since January 1st of this year since I released my. My rendition of Billy Joel’s We Didn’t Start the fire. I thought 2025 was a hell of a year. I think the 2026 rendition of Billy Joel’s We Didn’t Start the Fire is going to be far more chaotic, my friends. Check out the Prepper News Channel.

Show that channel some love. It has not fallen into the favor of the algorithm as of yet, but I have a sneaking suspicion that we will at some point. Thanks for watching. Take care.
[tr:tra].

See more of Canadian Prepper on their Public Channel and the MPN Canadian Prepper channel.