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Summary
➡ As fear grips the market, investors are moving their capital from volatile digital assets like Bitcoin to more stable real assets like silver. This shift is not just about safety, but also about potential growth, as silver is seen as a high conviction play for both capital preservation and explosive upside. The trend is backed by fundamentals, with silver trading above $38 an ounce, a 30% increase from the previous year, and projected to climb past $80 by mid-2026. This shift from digital to physical assets signifies a massive reallocation, with silver being the preferred choice due to its tangible nature and thousands of years of monetary history.
➡ Silver News Daily is giving away 10 ounces of silver to a lucky subscriber once they reach 500 active members on Telegram. The silver market is facing a serious supply shortage due to declining mining production and increasing demand, especially from industries like solar panels, electric vehicles, and AI servers. This shortage is expected to cause a significant increase in silver prices. Despite the potential for a stock market breakdown, the demand for silver remains strong due to its essential role in various industries.
➡ The world’s major players, including central banks and large institutions, are quietly stockpiling silver, treating it as a strategic resource rather than a trade. This is due to an anticipation of long-term scarcity and a rising distrust in fiat currencies. As the demand for silver increases and supply decreases, its real price is expected to break free from years of suppression. This shift towards tangible assets like silver is seen as an insurance policy for the next era, especially in a world with a weakening dollar, increasing debt, and a lack of real yield across traditional safe havens.
➡ Silver’s value is expected to rise significantly due to its current undervaluation, increased demand, and historical trends. Once it surpasses the $50 mark, it could potentially reach $200. This is due to factors like monetary issues, supply shortages, and reliance on technology. Meanwhile, digital assets like Bitcoin are becoming risky, leading investors to turn to tangible assets like silver.
Transcript
You don’t want to get back below 110,000, you better start. Fact you’re watching Silver News daily. Subscribe for more. The financial system is shifting beneath our feet and almost no one sees what’s coming. Bitcoin, the so called digital gold, is on the verge of a catastrophic collapse. Michael Oliver is warning that the stock market has formed one of the most dangerous patterns in market history, the broadening top. And when that pattern breaks, it doesn’t ease down, it detonates. Stocks fall first, then bitcoin gets dragged down in the chaos. But here’s the part no one’s talking about.
When bitcoin implodes, all that capital doesn’t just vanish, it moves. And it’s moving fast into silver. Not paper silver, not digital contracts, physical, hard, real silver. We’re already seeing it happen. Silver is trading at multi year highs, up nearly 30% year over year. And that’s before the real panic sets in. Oliver says this is just the beginning. He believes silver will soar past $60 by year’s end. But that’s not the ceiling, that’s just the warm up. Because when the real wealth transfer begins, silver won’t stop until it hits $200 an ounce. The collapse is already in motion.
So the only question left is, are you on the right side of it? You know, probably because it’s in front of a big round number called 40, you know, so hey, let’s risk a dying, you know, and so far they’re getting a lot of selling done, but not much price sustainability. On the downside, it is Spike down to 37.50. Right now the SEP Silver’s trading 3850, you know, that was earlier this week or last week at the 3750. So there’s no real sell off in silver. Just a pause. Okay. The big issue I think is what the stock market asset flows now.
Right now, the stock market is so Frothy that I can’t believe is really frothy. And in fact, a lot of fundamental analysts out there, and I don’t read this stuff in depth, but I know where they’re coming from. Leadership is gone. In other words, you’re down to very narrow leadership within the market that has driven it to a margin. New high. I say marginal. I mean we’re like 4 or 5% above the highs we saw late in 2024, early 2025. Most of the, the extreme the buying was in the just getting back there. Okay? Now if you look at gold, a lot of people assume that if the stock market goes down and you guys are right, it’s going to be a bear market, then gold’s going to go down too, right? Well, historically that’s, that’s not true.
There’s so many examples. In fact, I’m going to put together a report today on that issue going back in time. But if you go back and look at from February, I think it was, I wrote that in February 19, which is when I think the S and P made its top tick early this year to April 21st. Close to close now, daily close dropped 16%. Yes, it was more than that. Intraday highs to intraday lows. But still it was mid February to February, April 21, drop hard. What did gold do during that time? Straight up. Okay, it peaked in fact on April 21st there was a peak.
Okay, the same day S and P made a low. So, okay, the inversion issue didn’t work then. Okay. Since then, the stock market has recovered, therefore. Well, if you know gold should go down, maybe if you believe that gold is opposite the S, P, which we do. Instead it held steady. It’s been four months now where you can draw a line through upper 3300, 3400. It just goes up and down and up and down and get the downswings and upswings. In fact, we get to 3,500 again, but. Or you know, a few days ago, top tick again.
So they keep selling it there at that big round number. But all this while S and P went up. I’m gonna bet you that when the S and P does start down again and prove even to the price chart guys that the recent breakout above the early year highs was false meaning unsustainable was just another new high that didn’t go anywhere. Gold will be advancing through the 3500 and all the way up. In fact, if you look within the gold complex, the monetary metal complex, and look at silver since mid April, it’s gone up. The gold miners, silver miners, have gone up, even though gold has had just held steady.
So this fits with another scenario we have, and that is the asset flows in that area now favor the Myers and silver, and therefore we do think silver will see that zone this year. Michael Oliver isn’t throwing darts at a board. He’s sounding the alarm based on a chart pattern with a brutal track record. It’s called the broadening top, and it’s flashing across the entire US Stock market. Now, if you’ve never heard of this before, think of it like a megaphone shape, a widening pattern of higher highs and lower lows that signals pure instability. Historically, this formation appears right before violent reversals.
It lulls investors into thinking everything’s fine right before the bottom drops out. And that’s exactly where we are today. Stocks look like they’re holding, but under the surface, they’re already fraying. Volatility is creeping in, internal breath is breaking down, and institutional money is quietly heading for the exits. Oliver calls this the most dangerous setup in decades. And the reason he’s making such bold calls about what comes next. Because when the broadening top breaks, it doesn’t give second chances. It sets off a chain reaction. Stocks plunge, risk assets bleed out, and liquidity dries up fast. This isn’t just a correction.
It’s the kind of move that resets entire portfolios. And at the center of it all, Bitcoin, a digital asset that’s never faced a systemic crash of this scale. And according to Oliver, it’s about to be cut more than in half. Actually, from an investment point of view, if you go back, you know, four, five, six years, you’ll. You’ll find that silver’s gained just about as much as gold. It’s been more irregular and more. And there was a period there from those mid-2020 price surge where, you know, gold got up over 2000 and silver got up to 30.
Area that gold went sideways during that next several years. 20, 21, 22, 23, and into early 24. And silver. And the gold. And silver miners had a staircasing pullback, overlapping, you know, go down, go up, but net on balance or pullback. So they underperformed. Technically speaking, when we assess that spread relationship between silver and gold and the miners and gold, they’ve broken out. In other words, they. They’ve said to us that relative performance underperformance trend is over. They’re now outperforming again. And sure enough, look what’s happened, you know, over the Last couple months, especially since April, silver’s gone up from, you know, a high.
And you go back a year ago and in May 24th we had a surge high at 3270. And then since gold’s gone sideways since April, silver’s gained, you know, about 10, 15%. And the gold miners have really asserted themselves in a way that surprises most people. Because, because usually it used to be if gold has a down day, the miners get beat up pretty good. Now gold could have a down day and they’re up. You know, it’s, it’s, it’s surprising to most, not to us. I think that’s an indication, especially in the mining sector, that there is money beginning to flow out of the stock market.
That is question. It is doubtful money, meaning they doubt the sustainability of what they’re seeing on the tape and therefore they’re moving into other assets. And they finally realize that actually the gold miners, you know, they’re at a better level now than they’ve been for 10 years versus the S&P they’ve been in 10 years ago. They’re beating the S and P. If you just bought and hold the gold miners, nobody. Bitcoin has always thrived on narratives, decentralization, scarcity, digital revolution. But none of that will save it when the liquidity tide goes out. And Michael Oliver says that moment is already here.
He’s not predicting a gradual slide. He’s forecasting a brutal rapid drawdown that slices bitcoin’s value by more than 50%. Why? Because Bitcoin is still tethered to the risk on world. It’s treated like a tech stock, not a safe haven. And when the broadening top in equities detonates, Bitcoin doesn’t become a refuge, it becomes collateral damage. We’ve already seen the early signs. Sudden sell offs, weakened support at key levels and massive liquidations hitting exchanges as volatility returns. Once fear grips the market, the appetite for digital assets disappears. And the capital that once flooded into crypto doesn’t just vanish, it seeks shelter.
And here’s the twist. It’s not going back into fiat, it’s not going into bonds, it’s fleeing into real assets, into silver. Because while bitcoin burns in a fire of its own volatility, silver is preparing for liftoff. Investors are waking up. They’re realizing that when the dust settles, it’s not going to be about innovation, it’s going to be about preservation. And that’s why silver is next in line knows that, you know, they don’t mention that on Fox Business or CNBC about how gold, silver and the miners are outperforming the S&P 500. And not just for this last year or, you know, several months, but for a protracted period of time.
I think that’ll continue and especially when the stock market wobbles back. Now, we come up with numbers every week that if you crack them, you’re likely to start back down. I think what’s going to upset the public most, and some analyst, is if you do get back below the highs we saw early in the year and indicate, oops. That breakout isn’t sustaining. Remember, like the old Cape Canaveral rocket liftoffs, you know, they go up about 200 yards and then they implode back to the launch site. We have also there was a book written in the 1950s by Edwards & McGee, Edwards & M A G E.
Edwards & McGee buy it on Amazon called Technical Analysis of Stocks. And it is like a 400 page textbook with fine print of chart patterns in price that they developed, explained, defined and so forth of topping action and bottoming action that you can apply to stock market invested. But again, we’re talking, you know, 1958. Okay, I bought it when I was at E.F. hutton in 75 at a financial bookstore down near Wall street. That was sitting in the window there. So I bought it. I still have it. But there’s a price pattern in there that very few people ever mention.
A lot of people like to define bullish patterns, but there’s a price chart pattern that they define called the broadening top. And if you pump, if you’ll put your S P 500 monthly chart or weekly, go back to 2024 and the same with NASDAQ 100 and put it up on the screen, just price. Now you’ll see that we made a high in like mid 2024 at a sharp drop into August. It came back in late 2024, early 2025, made a marginal new high above that prior high and then had to drop into April, a lower low than it occurred in August.
So do a high, a low, a higher high, a lower low. And now you’ve kind of made another higher high. So you get three higher highs, two lower lows. For years, bitcoin captured the imagination of investors looking to escape fiat destruction. But now the same fear that drove them into crypto is pushing them somewhere else. As confidence in risk assets evaporates, capital is rotating out of fantasy and into reality. And nothing is more real than silver. It’s tangible it’s finite. And unlike crypto, it has thousands of years of monetary history behind it. What we’re seeing right now is the start of a massive reallocation.
Silver is being rediscovered not just as a safe haven, but as a high conviction play for both capital preservation and explosive upside. This isn’t a speculative trade anymore. It’s a rotation. Bitcoin, once seen as the ultimate hedge, is being exposed for what it really is in moments of crisis. A high beta asset that thrives on excess liquidity and low fear. But when the cycle turns and liquidity dries up, money doesn’t wait around, it flees. And silver is becoming its next home. Because silver isn’t just a store of value. It’s a real world asset with real world use cases and a supply chain that’s already under stress.
This is the moment when digital illusion gives way to physical certainty. And that certainty is silver. Now, bitcoin is, if you’ll overlay, and we did this in a recent report, go back to about 2023 and overlay a monthly price chart of bitcoin futures on top of a monthly price chart of the NASDAQ 100. You think you have twins. Almost month to month, they move together. Bitcoin is not moving like an alternative to the stock market. It is moving as a speculative bubble in sync with the NASDAQ 100, the leader index in the US stock market in terms of bubble quality.
So, and when we look at the technicals of Bitcoin, it’s at 122,000 right now. It’s at its highs. It was there like a month ago too. Let me put, let me ballpark this. There’s some momentum trigger levels that we’re monitoring that adjust up every quarter. So this quarter they’re down there a bit in the 90,000. Next quarter they’re going to be up about 103 to 105,000. So, you know, not all that far below where we are now. You break those numbers, you could crash bitcoin. It is a crash structure on quarterly momentum that is built and ready to use.
It is precisely an overlay of the same momentum lethal structure that had been built by the S&P 500 prior to its 1987 crash, where price came off of a summer high, August, September of 87, pullback in a way that wasn’t, didn’t look meaningful on a price chart. But it blew quarterly momentum floor that went back to three prior lows all right around the three quarter average. Well, bitcoin has done that precisely for the Last couple years, it’s had three lows that stopped precisely on the oscillator at a zero line, meaning at the three quarter moving average.
Well, that average this quarter’s in the ninety low ninety thousands. Next quarter, mid hundred, three hundred and five maybe. Also I’d look at, if I were just looking at a price chart of Bitcoin and operating on the assumption that we are, that it is moving with the Nasdaq. Therefore, if the NASDAQ goes down, you can bet Bitcoin is going to turn with it. You get Bitcoin back below 110,000 again. Pump up a price chart. The silver market isn’t waiting for a crisis to break out. It’s already in motion. As of now, silver is trading above $38 an ounce, marking a 30% gain year over year.
But here’s the thing. This rally isn’t speculative noise. It’s the beginning of a structural revaluation. Price resistance near $40 is being tested week after week, and every dip is met with buying pressure. Investors are no longer waiting. They’re moving. ETFs are seeing inflows, physical bar premiums are climbing, and mining stocks are catching fire. This isn’t hype, it’s momentum, backed by fundamentals. Silver rose from $29 to nearly $30 in just one year. And analysts are already projecting a climb past $80 by mid-2026 if current trends continue. But that’s not the ceiling. This is just the first wave.
The real pressure hasn’t even hit yet, because as the financial system convulses and speculative assets collapse, the hunt for stability intensifies and silver, with its perfect storm of rising demand and vanishing supply, becomes the obvious play. Investors are beginning to understand what Michael Oliver has already seen. The fuse is lit and silver’s breakout isn’t a matter of if, but when. Just begun. It’s just begun. GDX, for example, or SIL the Silver Miner ETF. You go back and look at the 2011 high. Look what happened to 2015. Collapse, just like gold. Then they built this big, huge.
I’m just talking price now. Momentum has already been ahead of this game. Price has built this massive wide base. Princess Sil, the silver miner ETF. It’s like 10 years. Why? You know of up, down, up, down in the same range. We’ve blown through the top of that. We just broke out over the top of that range. And even just the dimension of the price base, forget our momentum work, which has said this all along. The dimension of the price base added to itself. In other words, a swing move says you’re going to go to the old highs again quickly, which GDX has gone well up into the 6070 zone.
It’s now the mid-50s, upper-50s, excuse me. And SIL is going to explode as well. So, you know, the miners are really technically set both momentum and now with price action to launch. And it’s fresh. When you look at the price charts of the miners looking at the big picture again, that basing pattern, it’s only just in the last month or two that they’ve broken through the top of the base. So people that argue, oh, they got it correct, heck, they just broke out of your price base. They’ve hardly reached any dimensionality that argues overdone in know.
So I think the flow into the miners has only really just begun. Just before we get going, we just launched the official Silver News Daily Telegram. To kick things off, we’re running a 10 ounce silver giveaway. Yes, real physical silver, not a voucher, not digital credits, actual bullion. This telegram will be our new home for real time silver discussions, market insights, collection picks and everything. Precious metals. It’s where the community truly comes alive. Here’s how to enter the 10 ounce silver giveaway. Be subscribed to Silver News Daily on YouTube, turn on the notification bell, comment 10 ounce giveaway on three separate videos.
Be an active member of the Telegram group and say hi. Once we hit 500 active Telegram members, we’ll pick one lucky winner to receive 10 ounces of silver shipped directly to you. So get in early, stay active. Now, here’s where things get explosive. The supply side of the silver market is a ticking time bomb. We’re not just looking at a temporary shortfall. This is a full blown structural deficit five years deep and accelerating. In 2025 alone, experts are projecting a supply gap of up to 206 million ounces. That’s not a rounding error. That’s a systemic shortage in a market that cannot ramp up production on demand.
And here’s the kicker. Over 70% of global silver production comes as a byproduct of mining other metals like lead, zinc and copper. So even if silver prices surge, there’s no fast way to meet that demand. Add to that a mining sector struggling with declining ore grades, project delays and increasingly hostile permitting environments. New mines aren’t coming online fast enough, and the few that are still years away from production. Meanwhile, the comex, America’s largest exchange for precious metals, has seen its inventories collapse by 70% since 2020. That’s not just low, it’s crisis level. The safety net is gone.
Every day the deficit deepens, physical supply tightens and the strategic value of existing silver skyrockets. This is the perfect setup. Demand is surging, supply is locked down and inventories are vanishing. If this were any other market, prices would already be in the stratosphere. But because silver’s been suppressed for decades, this powder keg has been building unnoticed. When it finally blows, silver isn’t just going to rise, it’s going to go vertical. Technically happening. And when I say 60 to 70, all I mean is we’re going to just blow out those silly old highs because they really are silly.
Because given the monetary degradation since 2011 or 1980, you know, silver probably be $200 to match the real buying power of silver at those peaks. And ultimately that’s probably where it’s going. I’m just talking about this surge and I think that because of folks are so silly focused on 50 and 50 that a lot of people are going to think that’s technically important to take it out and they’re finally going to wake up when silver does blow through that silly price level and then you’re going to have the public say, well golly, all time, new highs in silver.
Why wasn’t I there? In fact, in real dollar terms, it’s still undervalued taking out those highs. But I think that you’re going to gush through that, run all the stops, so to speak, suck in new money that hasn’t been in at the appropriate places and won’t level off and pause until you get up to about 60 or 70. We’ve got a few technical reasons for that, but that’s not the top. I’m just talking about this surge meaning between now and year end. We’re arguing this particular wake up phase in silver where it finally does what copper’s already done, take out the 2011 highway.
Gold is amply done, taken out its, you know, prior major peaks. Silver is going to rush those old highs. It’s been a major technical and fundamental mistake for it not to have already done so along with copper for example, and gold. And in a monetary basis, in real dollar terms, if you undergrade the price of silver and put it in line with where the, the degraded dollar really is now versus where it was in 1980 or 2011 peak. And silver, silver probably be $200 an ounce just to match those highs in real spendable dollar terms. In other words, to compensate for the monetary degradation.
But we’re just talking technically about this particular surge because we think those two highs, we call them idiot highs frankly, because they are stupid, because there’s so many decades ago that they’re next to meaningless in real value terms. But everybody is aware of the two peaks at 50. And so when every investor out there is aware of it, that’s the point where they’ll finally wake up and get a smack in the face and say, gee, why wasn’t already there? And that’s when they’ll get interested and you’ll no doubt get some gushing buying on the other side of 50.
You’re not going up to 50 and stop again, okay? You’ll blow it out. And when you do, you’re going to get a gush of buying and it’ll probably at least take you another 20 bucks or so. And again, there’s minor technical reasons for that. Not it’s not a long term top. We think silver ultimately may go to like $200 an ounce over the following year. There are other factors in play here that will. The demand side of silver is turning into an unstoppable force. And at the heart of it is a technology super cycle no one can ignore.
Solar panels, electric vehicles, 5G AI servers. These aren’t fringe industries anymore. They’re the future of the global economy. And they all run on Silver. In 2025, industrial demand makes up 59% of global silver consumption. And it’s not slowing down. Just the solar sector alone absorbed up to 232 million ounces last year. And that’s only the beginning. Governments across the world, especially in China and the eu, are doubling down on green energy. Solar panel production is exploding, and silver’s role inside them is irreplaceable. There is no alternative metal that matches silver’s conductivity, efficiency and reliability in high performance photovoltaic cells.
As solar tech evolves, the amount of silver used per panel is actually increasing, not decreasing. And with China responsible for 80% of global solar output, the pace of silver consumption is accelerating faster than the market can process. But it doesn’t stop there. The electric vehicle boom is eating into supply. With every new battery, every advanced circuit, every onboard sensor, semiconductors, robotics, and even medical technology are now major silver consumers. And while so recycling is rising, it’s not nearly enough to offset the wave of new demand. This isn’t cyclical, it’s systemic. The demand for silver is locked in.
No matter what happens in the financial markets, industries will continue consuming millions of ounces every single month. And that relentless industrial pressure, it’s the force that will detonate the silver price facilitator, stimulate that move further, move in gold and silver. And that is the breakdown in the stock market, which always then is followed by massive breakdown in the data points. Employment numbers go bad really, really fast, factory output, you know, all the numbers that the Fed likes to look at and use as their academic excuse they’ll have. And in which case, you know, and plus, we have a president who wants to print, print, print, okay? So, you know, he wants a Fed chair that will do the same.
So we know that’s going to happen. In fact, it’s going to happen before Powell leaves because he’ll have enough evidence and already he’s got enough objections from members of the, the Fed board to have to pay attention. You know, it was two, now it’s three and four saying, yeah, we need to cut. Okay, so it’s going to happen. And that means that the Fed again will put their pedal further on the floor onto the, onto the, put their foot onto the pedal. And you’ll have monetary access in all kinds of different ways. You’ll see it in the M2, you’ll see it in the rate cuts and also see in their buying, you know, their balance sheet because there will be emergencies out there.
And we’re looking at certain areas in the stock market that most people aren’t. Most people look at an Nvidia and Microsoft and I pay real close attention to them right now, especially where they close this week out, we’ve got some numbers that are being, especially on Microsoft that are being threatened right now. We get a couple days left in the week, but he break them all. Suddenly, all of a sudden, one of the two remaining leaders of the Mag 7 will start to go down sharply and that’s going to surprise people and probably help take the market down.
Because in that last break we just had in the S and P a few weeks ago, Microsoft and Nvidia did not break the same metrics that we had saw broken in the S and P and Nasdaq. Now, if they’re ready to break down, then all of a sudden, you know, your leadership even in the mag seven is no longer seven. You’re now down to two or three. That’s it. The other four are not leaders. You compare it to prices they were at the last year and they’re so, so anyway, once that happens, that’s when the central bank goes full throttle again.
And especially if, you know, we know Trump’s going to pick somebody who’s going to go full throttle and Therefore, you know, book it. And the problem with that is if you go back historically and look at the 2000-2002 bear or the 2007-9, when the Fed went full throttle, it did not happen. Help the stock market, they cut rates all the way down. The stock market imploded anyway. So it’s, it did help something else. Gold, okay, during those periods of time. So I think that’s, so that’s why we’re watching the stock market, because it’s a inverse trigger for gold.
While retail investors are just beginning to wake up, the world’s biggest players are already making their movement. And they’re doing it quietly. Central banks, sovereign wealth funds and large institutions are now treating silver not as a trade, but as a strategic resource. Russia has openly begun stockpiling and reports suggest similar accumulation is happening behind closed doors in China and parts of Europe. This isn’t speculative, it’s national policy. When governments start accumulating a commodity, it’s not because they expect short term gains, it’s, it’s because they see long term scarcity. But it’s not just nations. Major ETFs are seeing a resurgence in inflows, reversing years of stagnation.
Institutions are buying physical bars, not just futures. They’re locking in supply, taking delivery and building reserves. In a world where financial volatility is rising and trust in fiat currencies is eroding, silver is emerging as a cornerstone asset, not just for individuals, but for countries. And here’s why that matters. Central banks don’t chase tops. They don’t react to headlines. They prepare for the next system. And they’re preparing with silver. As these entities quietly vacuum demand in silver, tight every bar pulled off. There’s not excess production in relation to demand. And if this isn’t a free market demand, it’s a race quadrant.
The ones buying now are positioning themselves for what comes next. And China is a big consumer. Silver becomes globally like 80% of the world’s solar panel. Production won’t trade at 30. That’s what the other factor is. This just over time, monetary metals advance not because of this war, that war. The fact wars are usually a negative for them it’s due to underlying monetary degradation that is ongoing. So if you look at an M2 chart, money supply chart on the Federal reserve site in St. Louis, you see this upward curving ballistic chart of the growth of money.
And if you go in and pick beginning in 1960 and then get the number for 1970 and do the math, 70 to 80, 80 to 90. You’ll see the annual growth is, you know, like 80, 90% every decade. 80 to 90% meaning, you know, good, good percent every year. We’re increasing that now. In fact, that chart is starting to go parabolic a bit. But over time, gold will match the ongoing degradation in a fiat currency. And obviously when you increase the supply degrades its buying power. So that’s why a loaf of bread when I was a kid was 20 cents and now it’s not okay, degradation of money or why, you know, when your granddad built a house it was 4,000 bucks.
Now it’s 450,000. Same house. Ongoing degradation in money and gold. If you plot over history, we’ll keep up with that degradation in the fiat currencies. Silver is a traveling partner with gold. Yes, it underperforms and then it shoom suddenly as you pointed out, like in 1998-2000 went ballistic on the upside. No, excuse me, 1979-80 went ballistic. Stress on the comics. No LONGER Subtle. About 2010-11 ballistic very quickly. In other words, what it took several years to do, it suddenly did in since 2020 comics Silver. But if you go back and have plummeted by 70, we’re now at levels that raise serious questions about given the ongoing degradation decade by decade in the money, not just a red flag.
That’s why should silver be lower than it was in 1980? Demand spikes and industrial 2000 scramble supply premiums on physical silver bars. What doesn’t make any sense. Gold is well above those levels. Above spot is above 2011. Paper price no longer reflects the real market. Why should divergence between what’s on the screen Mistake. Markets make mistakes. They remain underpriced for too long because the sentiment and then when they say oops, I made a mistake to manage the exchange has already. I think that’s what classic signs of a market trying to contain something it can’t control. What we’re watching unfold is a slow motion squeeze.
But this time it’s not Reddit traders driving it, it’s fundamentals. Supply is vanishing, demand is exploding and trust in paper promises is collapsing. If comex delivery becomes unreliable or if premiums continue climbing, it won’t just be a warning shot, it’ll be confirmation that silver’s real price is breaking free from decades of suppression. And when that happens, like all bets are off. Oh, so it’s a widening pattern. Not an. Not a triangle that narrows, but one that widens. And what it’s indicative of is a market that’s lost its sense of direction. In other words, it’s real exuberant one way and then suddenly it’s implosive and then it’s exuberant again, you know, but it’s, it’s flip flopping around, it’s dying.
Okay, if we fall back below the price highs we saw early this year, which is like, you know, 2200 area in the S and P and so forth and so on, you can look at your charts. Then the price guys are going to start to say, well golly gee, that’s, you know, and somebody’s going to mention that classic chart pattern to them, the broadening top. And I think that’s what we’re building in the stock market. And it’s a very dangerous pattern because when it’s over, it’s over. And momentum argues to us by price making new high.
Momentum is clearly not momentum. In fact, broken trend. Don’t trust the new highs. Okay, if that’s the case, then money is going to really start to flow out of the stock market at some point and I think soon probably. And where’s it going to go? Well, if you do all the performance graphs you want to of this asset category and that you’ll see t bonds haven’t been doing well. They’re usually an alternative to the stock market. Not much is doing well except gold persistently has been doing well and more and more money will flow. Look at a chart of Newmont for example.
Pardon me for getting long winded here. Newmont has both outperformed vastly and underperformed vastly gold price over the years. In the mining sector, it’s the big blue chip. It’s the one that if you’re a major asset manager and you’re going to buy into the gold stock arena, you’re probably going to include Newmont. Why? Because it’s the big blue chip. You’re not going to go out and buy juniors or something. It has exploded this year. It’s up like 85%. You know, what’s the S P up, you know, a 1015 from the year with the close of last year.
So there’s no comparison. Money is flowing into that for some reason. And a lot of that explosion in Newmont has occurred while gold’s been going sideways. So think about that. Somebody’s buying the gold miners. Why? It’s not because they’re all frothy about gold over the last four months. It’s because they’re moving money somewhere to somewhere. I think as you break the stock market, that money flow will Become massive. The final catalyst driving silver into the stratosphere is already in motion. Monetary policy. The era of tightening is over. The U.S. dollar index has slipped back to 98.
And pressure is mounting on the Federal Reserve to resume cutting rates amid growing economic instability. But it’s not just about interest rates. It’s about trust. Trust in fiat, trust in central banks. And that trust is eroding fast. Global M2 money supply has been expanding relentlessly since 2020, flooding the world with currency at a pace never seen before. And while inflation may not be making headlines the way it did in 2022, the underlying damage has been done. The purchasing power of your money is being quietly destroyed. And investors are starting to see through the illusion. That’s why gold is already sitting at record highs, pushing well past $3,300.
But silver. Silver hasn’t even started its catch up phase. And when it does, it won’t be gradual. In every monetary crisis in history, capital eventually flees to tangible assets. But this time, the backdrop is more explosive. We’ve got collapsing faith in fiat, a weakening dollar, ballooning debt, and a complete absence of real yield across traditional safe havens. That cocktail is toxic for paper assets and rocket fuel for silver. The market isn’t just positioning for inflation, it’s positioning for regime change. A shift away from paper wealth toward physical certainty. And in that environment, silver isn’t just an investment.
It becomes the insurance policy of the next era. Absolutely, yeah. Gold is not behaving, as I explained, like, you know, from earlier this year to April, gold went up, stocks went down. Okay? It’s not behaving like bitcoin again. Lay a monthly chart of bitcoin price on top of a monthly of Nasdaq going back at least to 2022, 2023, and you’ll see what I’m talking about. So don’t treat Bitcoin as if it’s some kind of new currency or new money unit. That’s a speculative bubble. And if it, if it goes, or if NASDAQ goes, they’re both going to go.
The problem is bitcoin has the type of momentum structures that are far more lethal and dramatic in terms of speed than what’s waiting underneath NASDAQ. Michael Oliver’s $200 silver target might sound extreme until you realize it’s a logical outcome of everything we’ve just covered. This isn’t about speculation or hype. It’s about math, momentum, and monetary reality. Silver is already up over 30% in the past year, and yet it’s still dramatically Undervalued relative to gold, industrial demand and inflation adjusted historical highs. Once silver breaches the psychological $50 barrier, a level it’s tested and failed at for decades, it won’t face resistance.
It’ll enter price discovery. And that’s where things get wild. Every suppressed breakout from the past will act like a coiled spring. Every investor who missed the early move will be scrambling to catch up. Every institution that’s underweight, silver will be forced to rebalance. And once momentum kicks in, Oliver’s projection of $60 to $70 by year end becomes not just plausible, it becomes the floor. Because the real ceiling, that’s $200, driven by decades of monetary abuse, supply destruction, and technological dependence. We’ve seen silver do this before. In 1980, it rocketed from under $6 to nearly $50 in months.
In 2011, it surged from $9 to $48. But both times, the macro setup was mild compared to what we’re facing now. Today, we have broken markets, broken currencies, and a broken energy grid. This isn’t a normal cycle. It’s a super cycle. And when it ignites, silver won’t just break out, it’ll break free. And you’ll see that in this advance since 2022, 2023. We get bullish in 2022, by the way. Late. It goes in layers. It’ll make a peak and it’ll have distribution, repeated selling at the same price level for months sometimes. And then it’ll break through it, have a next surge, and you’ll find a pullback that pulls back to that same old high.
And the buyers come in and they buy it on the old highs, which is kosher. It goes up again. Well, the last set of highs we had was in late 2024, early this year, same time the NASDAQ was making a high prior to its April sell off. Bitcoin also sold off into April, came up and blew out that high. Those highs were all either side of 110,000. So I would argue, just even on price, that if you slip and close a month out or even a week much below 110,000, you better get your helmet on, because this is a bubble that is probably the last up wave you’re going to see.
And it wouldn’t shock me if bitcoin got cut more than in half and did a lot of that fairly quickly. And that would be a financial and psychological ambush to stock market investors. I say financial because if you go back 5, 10 years, Bitcoin was not intertwined with major companies. There was Not a lot of capital commitment to it from major corporations, from major funds, etc, now suddenly you have a lot of deep investors in that area that are, you know, in effect jeopardize their own company by doing so, but they feel very comfy about it.
Well, I suggest they listen to what I just said. You don’t want to get back below 110,000, you better start factoring in risk control, because that is a market that could, if it goes down sharply, and I suspected, go more sharply than will the stock market, by the way. It will have real world headline effects. This company here, that company there, that suddenly we’re hearing stories we didn’t expect to hear. So I would have a keen eye on Bitcoin right now. Again, it’s 122 recent lows, been down around 113, 114,000. So it’s been sort of in his own.
Don’t drop back below 110,000. The wealth transfer isn’t coming. It’s already begun. Bitcoin is unraveling. Stocks are teetering. And behind the noise, a silent shift is underway out of speculative digital bets and into tangible, finite and increasingly scarce assets. Silver is no longer the forgotten metal. It’s the escape hatch for capital that sees what’s coming. From supply deficits and industrial demand to central bank hoarding and COMEX depletion, every force is converging on one outcome. A silver market that breaks through $50 and doesn’t look back. Michael Oliver’s top $200 target isn’t fantasy. It’s a reflection of a system that can no longer contain its own contradictions.
When confidence in fiat evaporates and trust in digital assets collapses, investors will flee to what has always held value. And this time, they’ll find the shelves already empty. So ask yourself, where is your capital positioned? Because this isn’t about timing the top. It’s about not missing the bottom of what could be the most explosive bull market silver has ever seen. If you want to stay ahead of the curve, make sure to subscribe for more insights as this story unfolds. And remember, this is not financial advice. Always speak to a licensed professional before making any financial decisions.
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