Weekly Market Report: Analysis and Financial Forecast 01-17-2025 | Silver Savior

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This market report evaluates key economic indicators and commodities, conjecturing their potential impact on investment dynamics and the dollar’s value. Amidst the sudden heavy purchase of debt, stubborn bond yields, and rising commodity prices, our analysis focuses on providing insightful guidance for investors navigating through foggy financial terrains.

Commodities and Precious Metals Analysis

– Gold: The current price is $2705.87 per ounce, reflecting its status as a bastion for risk-averse investors.

– Silver: Priced at $29.579, and given a high gold-to-silver ratio (G/S) of 90.18, silver appears discounted relative to gold – historically, a G/S ratio above 30 suggests silver may be undervalued.

– Palladium and Platinum: These precious metals, at $963.731 and $941.74, respectively, are subject to industrial demand that might experience volatility due to manufacturing sector outcomes.

Energy and Other Commodities

– Crude Oil: At $77.53, oil prices reflect recent geopolitical tensions and production constraints. Energy sector investments should be attentively managed as they can substantially sway given the geopolitical climate. Oil has been said to be rising but our experience has shown crude oil holding in a tight range over the past 6 months.

  – Copper: Copper prices are at $4.36 per pound. This price also stays tightly mapped in a small range.

Economic Indicators and Their Implications

– US 10-Year Bond Yield: The yield’s contraction to 4.768%, likely due to considerable debt buying activity, may foretell a dip in future commodity prices as interest rates potentially decline, making higher-yield investments less attractive. The global debt market is showing signs of instability, and rising rates are facing significant quantitative easing – it’s just not being called out in the media.

– Bitcoin USD: At 105627.27, Bitcoin’s valuation emphasizes burgeoning interest in cryptocurrencies which can be a strategic diversification although it also denotes high volatility. Remember the new Trump administration has gone from calling Bitcoin a scam (first Trump administration) to calling America the cryptocurrency capital of the world.

Housing and Automobile Market Outlook

Initial indicators point towards a potential softening in the housing and auto markets. As high commodities and shipping costs persist alongside manufacturing adversities, further strain could be anticipated on these sectors.

Side Story On US Transportation and Shipping

The United States shipping and transportation industry is currently facing challenges while adapting to ensure the continuity of the supply chain – particularly in the food sector, where disruptions can have far-reaching societal impacts. Several factors are contributing to the current state of the industry:

1. Labor Shortages and Wage Pressures: Labor issues persist across the transportation sector, including trucking, maritime, and rail industries. Drivers and workers are in high demand, and companies struggle to fill positions. This deficit, in part, is driving up wages and operating costs, impacting the overall cost of shipping and transportation services.

2. Mechanical and Technical Disruptions: Ongoing mechanical problems, including those affecting major shipping vessels and port infrastructure, compound delays. Additionally, cyber-attacks targeting critical logistics infrastructure contribute to disruptions and force stakeholders to elevate cybersecurity measures.

3. Food Supply Infrastructure Investments: The USDA’s partnership with Nevada, resulting in a $2.2 million grant, exemplifies efforts to reinforce the food supply chain infrastructure. . US food supply chains face daily problems such as fires and hurricanes and road and infrastructure issues that further inhibit shipping and supplies.

4. International Trade Tensions and Political Instability: Political disruptions can impede commerce, especially in key transitory routes like the Red Sea, where attacks on shipping vessels have been documented. These events prompt rerouting, which can slow delivery times and increase costs.

5. Climate-Related Disruptions: Wildfires, heatwaves, and drought conditions across farming regions like the Texas Panhandle and globally in countries like Italy and Chile have caused substantial agricultural damage and uncertainty in the food supply chain. These conditions have prompted a need for predictive modeling in agriculture and a reevaluation of sourcing strategies to mitigate the risk of such climate-induced disruptions.

6. Regulatory and Compliance Issues: Increasing regulatory demand across the transportation and shipping industries requires adherence to new standards, potentially leading to short-term inefficiencies but aiming for long-term sustainability and compliance. Regulations are part of the growing impediments to shipping and transportation.

7. Market Conditions and Consumer Behavior: High inflation and rising interest rates have dampened consumer confidence, affecting purchasing behavior and, ultimately, demand for goods transportation. Despite this trend, critical food commodities like feed, wheat, and rice are expected to experience price decreases, though only mildly.

8. Energy, Fuel Costs, and Environmental Considerations: Fuel prices and availability, renewable energy adoption, and environmental regulation compliance continue to impact operational costs and strategic decision-making within the transportation sector.

9. Evolving Food Industry Dynamics: Investments by companies like Cargill demonstrate a shift toward multifaceted food production, including traditional livestock, plant-based substitutes, and innovative technologies like 3D printing for plant-based meats. The push for sustainable protein production and investments in the alternative protein sector highlight an adaptation to changing consumption patterns, ethical sourcing, and sustainability considerations. The latest issue for protein availability is the non-scientific attack on farm animals using the bird flu pretense.

10. Transportation Technology Advancements: GEA’s Tech Center for Alternative Proteins in the US and other ventures are signs of the industry’s move towards modernizing food processing and production, streamlining operations, and creating new products in response to shifting market demands.

11. Food Safety and Regulatory Funding: The FDA’s request for an increased budget to enhance food safety, among other initiatives, reflects a prioritization of safeguarding the supply chain and ensuring consumer health amidst fiscal challenges and supply chain resiliency concerns.

12. Global and Domestic Supply Chain Recovery and Resilience: While global supply chains have not recovered from “pandemic” breakdowns, signs of tightening suggest that increased demand could pose opportunities and challenges for the transportation sector.

In conclusion, the US shipping and transportation industry has many problems, and there is a growing problem of systemic breakdowns, which will impact food supply and general shipping and transportation of goods to the nation.

3-Month Financial Forecast

Precious Metals: Gold is likely to maintain or augment its worth given the economic ambiguity, while silver may witness a price surge should the market correct for the high G/S ratio.

Fixed Income Markets: A prolonged debt-purchase rally may depress yields and stimulate a preference for fixed-income securities should the current pattern persist.

Commodities and Energy Markets: Given the reducing yields and a potentially softening dollar, commodities could see an increase in value. However, a drawdown could unfold if the debt purchasing decelerates and yields stabilize or elevate.

Conclusions and Recommendations

Investors might consider rebalancing portfolios towards precious metals, notably silver, and fixed-income securities, albeit with cautious market monitoring. Energy and other commodity markets must be monitored with prudence, particularly noting the possibility of sudden shifts in the geopolitical landscape.

Disclaimer

This report constitutes a survey of market tendencies and projections based on contemporaneous data and should be appraised as one of several sources when forming investment strategies. Forecasts are inherently uncertain and should be approached with caution.

Be not deceived – be prepared ~ Silver Savior

WhySilverNow.com (why is silver the most undervalued financial asset in the world)

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  • Note: We are not giving advice; we only give our opinion; we are not financial advisors. This article only represents our thoughts about the economy.

 

 

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