Summary
Transcript
It’s not a good look. It’s not it’s not ideal. Putin didn’t overreact you know a couple things. One, he didn’t divert any of the major forces um that are ongoing carrying out an ongoing offensive operation. The Donbass didn’t stop that offensive and divert the forces to Kursk. That’s one of the goals and objectives that the Ukrainians were hoping for didn’t happen. He did deploy a reserve airborne brigade, a reserve marine brigade in the Akhmat Special Forces who have contained the Ukrainian advance and are now in the process of just gradually killing every Ukrainian they find but it’s going to take time because they aren’t sending um overwhelming forces in that direction.
Putin made a decision just to contain this problem and then slowly resolve it because the main effort is in the Donbass where today the Ukrainians uh the Russians captured the original 2014 defensive fortifications. Ukraine has lost all of its fortifications now. Now they’re going to have to be they’re going to have to precipitously withdraw behind the Dnieper River um if they survive this retreat. This is the collapse of the Ukrainian army taking place and Putin showed patience to allow this to happen. Putin also again we talked about Turkey and BRICS. You know the strategic goal of the United States in the West is to achieve the strategic defeat of Russia using Ukraine as a proxy.
The strategic goal of Russia is even larger. It was announced in a 5,000 word statement that was released by Putin in Xi Jinping on February 4th 2022 before the invasion of Ukraine that said that they are going to defeat the rules-based international order of the United States and replace it with a law-based international order. Today we can call the law-based international order BRICS. Um in Russia is in the process of finalizing the creation of this um the infrastructure for a BRICS establishment that will be able to um work similar fashion to the G7 with ministerials on a regular basis consensus driven decision making um joint policy decisions.
But to do that they have to attract people there and they have to get everybody to agree. The one thing that might disrupt this is if Russia is seen as overreacting to Ukraine expanding the conflict precipitously um disrupting um you know regional security and global security extent that nations may choose not to come. This is one of the things I believe is the strategic intent of the United States in backing the uh the Ukrainians in Kursk and in encouraging to use uh destabilizing weaponry long-range strike weaponry because they’re trying to get Russia to overreact to kill uh BRICS.
Putin’s not going to let that happen. When he started speaking back in uh the the St. Petersburg international economic forum which you and I should have been at um you know he didn’t start off by talking about the Ukrainian conflict even though everybody in the west was focused on that. He spoke about BRICS. He spoke about the economy. He spoke about uh multilateral relationships. That’s his strategic focus and he’s never lost focus on that. So his patience is linked to a policy direction which emphasizes the economic and the political over the military.
[tr:trw].